Editorial
Commentary
VenEconomy: The collapse of PDVSA
of all trades
On January 11, President Hugo Chávez presented the Report and Accounts
for 2007 before the National Assembly. Apart from saying that he consumes coca
paste daily, recommending the practice to others, and calling on the nations
of the world to recognize the belligerent status of the FARC and the ELN, drug
traffickers and terrorists, he explained the “achievements” of the
state-owned oil company, PDVSA. He assured nation that 2007 was “a great
year for our oil industry, here and throughout the world.”
Unfortunately, there are serious signs that these “achievements” are
merely mirages with no true foundations.
For example, it is common knowledge that the government’s claim that PDVSA
is producing 3.2 million barrels a day is a monumental lie. OPEC reports that
Venezuela’s production in December 2007 was 2,389,000 b/d, 100,000 b/d
less than in December 2006.
According to official announcements, the industry invested $10 billion in 2007,
and while this figure may be true, the fact is that everything points to this
money not ending up in the industry.
One indicator is that the firm Baker Hughes reported that the number of active
drills in Venezuela in December 2007 was only 71, five less than a year ago and
37 less than in December 1997 when the industry was being operated properly and
truly expanding its capacity.
This information from Baker Hughes, plus the constant accidents and refinery
shutdowns, the importing of gasoline components that were previously exported,
and the shortage of gas, gives grounds for inferring that PDVSA is not really
investing in the oil business and provides confirmation that production is as
low as reported by OPEC.
Now, if one takes the transfers of $120 million a week ($6.24 billion during
the year) to Fonden, officially confirmed, plus the $1.2 billion in debt assumed
by PDVSA with the two companies in the Orinoco Oil Belt that were expropriated,
that leaves only $2.5 billion of that sum of $10 billion to invest in the new
food affiliate, PDVAL, and in PDVSA’s main business.
As though that were not enough, on January 23, PDVSA sprang a surprise by publishing
a report from the firm of auditors KPMG, which reveals that, as at December
31, 2007, PDVSA’s long-term debt was $16 billion, in other words $13.6
billion more than a year ago.
All this makes it quite clear that PDVSA’s production is plummeting, that
the company is not generating sufficient cash flow, and that the cash flow it
is producing is insufficient to cover social spending or to feed the population
through its new subsidiary, PDVAL, much less to meet the industry’s investment
requirements.
VenEconomy is a Venezuela's leading specialized publisher in the economic
and financial area. VenEconomy's Points of View on the issues of the day,
as seen by VenEconomy during the last week. Petroleumworld does not necessarily
share these views.
This
commentary was originally published by VenEconomy, on 01/24/2007. Petroleumworld
reprint this article in the interest of our readers. Petroleumworld
does not necessarily share these views.
All
comments posted and published on Petroleumworld, do not reflect either
for or against the opinion expressed in the comment as an endorsement
of Petroleumworld. All comments expressed are private comments and do
not
necessary reflect the view of this website. All comments are posted
and published without liability to Petroleumworld.
Fair
use Notice: This site contains copyrighted material the use of which
has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. We
are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding
of issues of environmental and humanitarian significance. We believe
this constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted material as provided
for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title
17 U.S.C. Section 107. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml.
All
works published by Petroleumworld are in accordance with Title 17 U.S.C.
Section 107, this material is distributed without profit to those who
have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information
for research and educational purposes. Petroleumworld has no affiliation
whatsoever with the originator of this article nor is Petroleumworld
endorsed or sponsored by the originator.
Petroleumworld
encourages persons to reproduce, reprint, or broadcast Petroleumworld
articles provided that any such reproduction identify the original source,
http://www.petroleumworld.com or else and it is done within the fair
use as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. If you wish
to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that
go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
Internet
web links to http://www.petroleumworld.com are appreciated
Petroleumworld
welcomes your feedback and comments: editor@petroleumworld.com.
By using this link, you agree to allow E&P to publish your comments
on our letters page.
Petroleumworld
News 01/29/08
Copyright© 2008 VenEconomy.
All rights reserved.
Send
this story to a friend
Your
feedback is important to us!
Readers'
comments: share your thoughts on this article.
We invite all our readers to share with us
their views and comments about this article.
Write
to editor@petroleumworld.com
Any
question or suggestions, please write to:
editor@petroleumworld.com
Best
Viewed with IE 5.01+
Windows NT 4.0, '95, '98 and ME +/ 800x600 pixels