Lagniappe
Galina
Ivanova:
Russia and president Hillary
Clinton
Many Russians are predicting a win by Senator Hillary Clinton
in the 2008 U.S. presidential election, and they’re worried.
A concern is that her victory will result in stepped-up criticism
of Russia's failures in human rights and democratization, thereby
increasing friction. The result will be an increased deterioration
in US-Russian relations.
They are bad under Bush, but could be much worse under Hillary
Clinton. She may revive the doctrine of her husband, and assume
that Russia is to be punished for having lost the Cold War. Another
source of trouble will be the increasingly favored status of
China. This is due almost entirely to the fact that China serves
as a source of cheap labor for low grade consumer goods, with
the expectation that the same labor force can eventually be upgraded
for the production of more expensive items such as consumer electronics.
Russia could argue that China has human rights issues of its
own, and democratization is an utterly foreign concept there.
Russia could assert that US policy is being driven by corporate
interests, strengthening the position of pro-Communist factions
within Russia.
Another consideration is oil. Russia controls a significant
portion of the world's petroleum resources, and the disastrous
situation in the Middle East may necessitate a certain level
of dependency on Russian oil and gas.
If elected, Senator Hillary Clinton will have two problems with
respect to Russia. The first is the foreign policy disaster created
by her predecessor, and the second could be biases inherited
from her husband. Russia will be undergoing changes, and Clinton
must work with things as they are to prevent the development
of a significant and dangerous rift between America and Russia.
Galina
Ivanova of Russian Election 2008 blog. Petroleumworld does
not necessarily share these views.
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Petroleumworld
News 10/21/07
Copyright© 2007
Galina
Ivanova . All rights reserved.
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