Lagniappe
Benjamin Dangl : New
politics in old Bolivia:
Public opinion and Evo Morales
Nearly two years into the presidency of Evo Morales, Bolivia
finds itself in a new crisis. Yet government officials and leftist
social organizations are determined to break with the past and
transform the nation. The opposition calls it a civil war. The
government calls it a revolution.
During the weekend of November 24-25, opposition protestors clashed
with police. Protesters were demanding that the capital of Bolivia
be moved to Sucre. Three people died and over 100 were wounded
in the confrontations. Leading up to this bloody weekend, assembly
people of the Movement Toward Socialism (MAS, the political party
of Evo Morales) had been routinely attacked by opposition groups
advocating the capital move and protesting the MAS and the new
constitution. Due to these frequent attacks, the MAS moved the
assembly to a nearby military college for security. Opposition
assembly people boycotted the gathering at the military college,
protesting the move and the MAS plans for the new constitution.
On Saturday, November 24 the MAS used the opportunity to pass
a new draft of the constitution without opposition assembly people
present. The new draft was passed by 138 out of the 255 assembly
people.
According
to Evo Morales, the draft that was passed guarantees autonomy
for departments
and indigenous groups, nationalization of natural resources,
greater access to water, land, electricity, education and healthcare.
Morales explained that that the constitution respects private
property, but also public and communal property. The assembly
has until December 14th to approve the final constitution. This
final constitution requires the support of 2/3 of the entire
assembly, meaning these articles won’t be passed without
the participation of opposition groups. Any articles in the constitution
that do not receive 2/3 approval will go to a national referendum
for citizens to vote on.
The Landscape of Public Opinion in Bolivia
To gain an unofficial understanding of the general public opinion
regarding the Evo Morales administration, I spoke with a number
of Bolivians from diverse economic, geographical and political
backgrounds. These informal discussions took place on buses,
in parks, bars, farms and living rooms. They offered insights
into the current crises and political landscapes in the country.
It was these opinions and popular sentiments that erupted into
violence recently, and will likely decide the fate of the government.
In general, I found that poorer, working class
and rural people tend to support the MAS primarily because
Morales is the first
indigenous president of Bolivia, a former coca grower and is
from a humble background like their own. These supporters, which
largely make up the government’s base across the country,
cite the partial nationalization of the gas, redistribution of
land, improved access to basic services and the work of constituent
assembly (in spite of its problems) as key reasons for their
support. Many of the country’s social organizations and
unions are within this supportive group. Though they have criticisms,
many leaders have entered, or are working with, the government
in some capacity. This is the group that will likely continue
to defend the government from opposition forces and keep Evo
Morales in office.
I have also met a number of people that in spite of their
criticisms recognize the importance of the first indigenous president,
and the fact that the MAS is a political instrument developed
by grassroots movements. These people acknowledge the challenges
facing the administration, yet are not contented with the changes
that have taken place under the MAS government. They say more
private land and corporations should be expropriated, that the
gas should be fully nationalized, and that the MAS is depending
on the old structure of the corrupt state, rather than transforming
the state. Criticisms are growing within this group, particularly
after the violence and problems at the constituent assembly.
Though this group may weaken the overall support for the government,
they currently lack a coherent political strategy or major party
outside the MAS.
Others cited the government’s lack of expertise, management
and technical skills as reasons to be critical. They contend
that instead of picking people with technical and political experience,
the MAS chose to hire people that are close political allies,
and indigenous people with union organizing experience, which
has thus contributed to poor management within the government.
It’s important to point out that in the past it has been
the technically experienced politicians that have used their
skills to loot the country. In this government, there has been
a concerted effort to include workers, indigenous people and
leaders from excluded sectors that understand the suffering and
needs of the population which the government was elected to work
for.
I have also met a handful of people that are
against the indigenous president because they are racist. Others
oppose the government
for ideological reasons, and advocate continued neoliberal policies.
Within this oppositional group is the occasional critique that
Evo Morales isn’t governing for Bolivians, he is just following
orders from Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, and Fidel Castro
of Cuba. This is not true. The route that the current government
is taking with the management of natural resources, the re-writing
of the constitution, has been set by popular demands from the
Bolivian people. For decades, numerous mobilizations and protests
pushed the constituent assembly and gas nationalization into
the political agenda. It’s true that there is a considerable
amount of influence and support coming from Cuba and Venezuela.
Yet many people in Bolivia see this as a good thing. It’s
a collaborative relationship of mutual respect, and much less
hierarchical than the relationships former Bolivian presidents
have had with the Washington or multinational corporations. For
example, when Venezuela lends money to Bolivia, there aren’t
any neoliberal strings attached, such as the privatization of
water resources.
Finally,
there is a large and vocal political opposition to the Evo
Morales
administration. This opposition is organized primarily through
political parties and civic organizations in the eastern parts
of the country. These groups have led the charge against the
MAS in the assembly, the media and the streets. A recent strike
was called by prefects for six of the nine departments in Bolivia.
This strike represents the cohesion of the right, and the regional
division in the country. Though the MAS won the presidency, it
did not win a number of prefect and mayor positions. These local
governments and right wing leaders have united against the MAS.
It’s this opposition which poses the biggest challenge
to the MAS government.
A common critique that crossed these lines of
support and opposition to the government was the tension and
violence in the country.
The recent deaths and injuries in Sucre are part of a cycle of
violence that has beset the administration since it took office,
erupting earlier in Cochabamba, Santa Cruz and elsewhere in the
country. These outbursts aren’t necessarily just the Morales
administration’s fault, but part of a power struggle which
has erupted between the MAS and the opposition. And, as Vice
President Alvaro Garcia Linera explained in a recent interview,
these tensions, both racial and economic, are not anything new
for Bolivia: "The novelty today is that for the first time
the society is forced to look at itself in the mirror, and it
has to see its limitations, its cracks, its weaknesses. … The
real problem would be if we didn't resolve them, if we just did
what past governments have done and swept them under the rug."
"With or Without Evo"
Another group of intellectuals and journalists offered their
analysis of the current government and the role of the society
outside the government palace.
In the worn down Bolivian Workers’ Center office in El
Alto, I met with Julio Mamani, a journalist who has for years
reported on his city, its politics and social movements. Mamani
lamented the lack of space for critique within the MAS: "If
you critique the government, they say you are an instrument of
neoliberalism." Others in the government shared this criticism,
complaining about a "with us or against us" mentality
within the MAS that stifles open discussion and critiques.
Mamani explained another challenge is the lack
of political alternatives on the Bolivian left. Most groups
have gathered
under the umbrella of the MAS. "What will happen to them
after Evo is gone?" Mamani asked.
Felipe Quispe, a long time indigenist/leftist leader, and Felix
Patzi, a radical sociologist and former minister of education
in the MAS government, had answers to that question.
In a hotel lobby near the central Plaza Murillo in
La Paz, a mustachioed Quispe, smoking cigarettes
and chewing
coca at the same time, tilted his hat above his forehead and
shook his fist in the air when talking about indigenous mobilizations
in recent years. "We have tried to recuperate our land and
our power. Yet this power is in the hands of our looters, including
the MAS. We have to reorganize, rearticulate our forces in the
country sides and in the cities… Who will make the revolution
for us? It’s us, the poor, those on the bottom, the discriminated,
the workers, we who built this country, it’s up to us.
We need to govern ourselves."
The academic Patzi spoke of the social and indigenous
movements that were very active in recent years and helped
pave the way
to the election of Evo Morales. "The MAS is a part of the
momentum of these social movements… If this movement is
to go forward, it’s up to us. We’ll have to continue
this process with or without Evo."
Others on the left are planning for a Bolivia
without Evo, or at least a radicalization of the existing government.
Writer
and analyst Luis Tapia also looked beyond conventional thinking.
Tapia has a beard, long flowing hair, and red-rimmed glasses.
Speaking in a sure, steady tone, he explained that Bolivia contains
many more political and social forces that the state does not
include. "In Bolivia, politics is a lot more diverse than
just the state," Tapia explained. He mentioned communitarian
governance among indigenous groups, unions, anti-privatization
movements and neighborhood councils which question the vast inequalities
in the country. "This political diversity and power often
doesn’t fit into political parties or governmental positions.
Democracy is not synonymous with the state." Tapia said
that the Bolivian state only represents a part of the diversity
of the country, and likened presidents to monarchs -- both centralized
positions of power which facilitate the application of policies
which are harmful to the people. Tapia said there is a dire need
to "de-monopolize" politics and democracy in Bolivia.
On the other hand,
the MAS contends that it is a government made of social movements,
and is working
to transform the state so that it can better serve the needs
of the poorest sectors of the population. As Morales recently
explained: "It is the experience and the effort of the social
movements that is causing democracy to address the issues that
really concern poor and needy people… Democracy is much
more than a routine election every four years." Indeed,
many of the ministers and party members within the MAS are from
union and indigenous movements. In many ways, and with limited
results, the MAS initiatives and policies have reflected the
demands of these excluded sectors.
The hope and enthusiasm of the first year of the Morales administration
has dissipated. The initial plans and announcements of 2006 have
largely unraveled in 2007. Instead of an instrument of transformation,
the constituent assembly has been turned into a political swamp
which the MAS may not be able to pull itself out of. Though the
gas has been partially nationalized, some land has been re-distributed,
and access to basic services increased, much still needs to be
done.
There may a strong presence of social movement leaders
within the government, but until the MAS can transform the state
into something which reflects the diversity of Bolivia, it risks
being suffocated by the rusted apparatus of the old state. Though
the poor majority may still support the Morales administration,
these first two years in office have exposed the stark challenges
facing the country.
Benjamin
Dangl is
the author of "The Price of Fire: Resource
Wars and Social Movements in Bolivia," (AK Press, 2007).
Email Bendangl(at)gmail.com.
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Editor's
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Petroleumworld
News 11/29/07
Copyright© 2007
Benjamin
Dangl. All rights reserved.
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