Lagniappe
Simon
Romero/NYT :
For Venezuela,
as distaste for U.S. grows, so does trade
CARACAS — “Capitalism will lead to the destruction of humanity,”
President Hugo Chávez said this month in a speech in Vietnam,
during an overseas tour that included stops in Iran and Belarus. The
United States, he added, “is the devil that represents capitalism.”
In Caracas, signs with American brands are everywhere, in contrast to
political
billboards criticizing the foreign policy of the United States.
Yet even as the talk from Caracas and Washington grows more hostile
and the countries seem to be growing ever farther apart, trade between
Venezuela and the United States is surging.
Venezuela’s
oil exports, of course, account for the bulk of that trade, as the country
remains the fourth largest oil supplier to the United States. Pulled
largely by those rising oil revenues, trade climbed 36 percent in 2005,
to $40.4 billion, the fastest growth in cargo value among America’s
top 20 trading partners, according to WorldCity, a Miami company that
closely tracks American trade.
But
American companies are also benefiting, as Venezuela’s thirst
for American products like cars, construction machinery and computers
has steadily grown, rising to $6.4 billion last year, from $4.8 billion
a year earlier.
The
new growth comes even as Mr. Chávez has done his best to try
to redirect his nation’s trade toward what he considers more likeminded
nations. He has formed a new socialist trade agreement with Cuba and
Bolivia. A few Chinese cars can now be glimpsed in showrooms here. Iranian
tractors are rolling off a new assembly line. And a Russian company
plans to open a Kalashnikov rifle factory soon.
Washington
has moved to halt American weapons sales to Venezuela, for what it says
is a lack of cooperation in combating terrorism, as Mr. Chávez
deepens ties with countries like Iran.
But
while the leaders in Washington and Caracas may regard each other with
distaste, there is little getting around the fact that the appetite
for trade in both nations belies those differences. Especially when
it comes to oil, the economies remain mutually dependent.
Some
say the ties have left the two nations entangled to a degree that political
or ideological disputes would have a hard time undoing. “The U.S.
has been Venezuela’s principal trading partner for a century,”
said Robert Bottome, editor and publisher of Veneconomía, the
country’s leading business newsletter. “It’s not easy
to dismantle such a relationship, though that is probably Chávez’s
ultimate desire.”
Venezuela
moved in that direction on Tuesday, with its national oil company saying
it had agreed to sell its stake in a Houston refinery for more than
$1.3 billion in cash.
Still,
the trade numbers illustrate a widening gulf between Mr. Chávez’s
increasingly anti-American speeches, aimed at revving his political
base, and the needs of Venezuela’s otherwise freewheeling economy.
For
instance, non-oil exports to the United States climbed 116 percent in
the first three months of the year, according to the National Statistics
Institute. Venezuela also maintains close ties to Wall Street banks,
with Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse advising the governments of Venezuela
and Argentina on their coming sale of $2 billion of bonds.
The
growth in economic ties has touched several sectors, even if political
tensions have left American companies generally hesitant to call attention
to their good fortune or to offer detailed comments on their operations.
Regulatory
filings show that Venezuela’s economy, which grew 9.6 percent
in the first half of the year, is lifting profits for many American
companies.
Most
delicately, oil services companies like Halliburton, an emblem of the
Venezuelan government’s distaste with American foreign policy,
are at the forefront of the deepening interdependence.
“There’s
rhetoric and there’s business,” said an official with the
United States Commerce Department who closely follows trade with Venezuela,
and asked not to be identified because of the sensitivity of relations
between the countries. “The Venezuelans can’t produce their
oil without our equipment. It’s as simple as that.”
With
10 offices and 1,000 employees in Venezuela, Halliburton recently won
a contract to assist Petrozuata, a venture between Venezuela’s
national oil company and ConocoPhillips, in extracting oil from fields
in eastern Venezuela.
Melissa
Norcross, a Halliburton spokeswoman in Houston, declined to comment
specifically on activities in Venezuela, but noted that the company
had operated in the country for more than 50 years.
In
its July filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Halliburton
reported that its energy services group, which helps companies drill
for oil, hit double-digit sales growth in Venezuela in the first six
months of 2006, offsetting a decline in Mexico.
At
the same time, Venezuela’s government often speaks out against
the strength of American multinationals, and recently has exerted greater
control over the oil industry, with the largest American oil company,
Exxon Mobil, publicly chafing at its treatment.
Chevron,
the second-largest American oil company, said last month that Venezuela’s
reorganization of its oil industry would cut Chevron’s output
by 90,000 barrels a day later this year.
Mr.
Chávez has also been critical of American software companies
like Microsoft, and has issued a decree ordering the country’s
government offices to move toward open-source alternatives like Linux.
Government-financed cooperatives in urban barrios and the countryside,
meanwhile, churn out everything from shoes to organic cocoa.
Still,
demand for American products remains strong. General Motors, Ford and
other car manufacturers are trying to meet soaring demand, with sales
up 28 percent in July from last year. G.M., Venezuela’s largest
car manufacturer, said this month that it would invest $20 million to
expand output by 30 percent, adding 600 new workers.
Here
in Venezuela’s frenetic capital, the pervasive presence of American
brands and advertising for American products stands in contrast to the
colorful murals heroically depicting Mr. Chávez and Simón
Bolívar, and billboards emblazoned with slogans taunting President
Bush. (One reads: “Mister Danger, Let Us Make Love and Not War.”)
The
resilient ties with the United States are too much for some of Mr. Chávez’s
critics on the left, including Douglas Bravo, a former Marxist guerrilla
commander who was once close to Mr. Chávez, but who has broken
with him over Venezuela’s heavy reliance on energy companies from
rich industrial countries.
“If
you look at its speech and discourse, this is a revolutionary government,”
Mr. Bravo said in a recent interview with the newspaper El Nacional.
“But if you look at what it has accomplished, it is a neoliberal
government.”
Some
government policies have unexpectedly benefited American companies.
For instance, after Venezuela restricted access to foreign currency
for trips abroad to prevent capital flight during a sharp downturn in
the economy in 2003, MasterCard profited because travelers were still
allowed to spend up to $2,500 on their credit cards outside Venezuela.
Though
MasterCard has recently stopped breaking out figures for Venezuela,
it credited the exchange controls with helping to raise its gross dollar
volume in the country by 82 percent, to $460 million, in the third quarter
of 2005.
“We’re
going to have to pass on this one,” Janet Rivera, a MasterCard
spokeswoman, replied when asked about operations in Venezuela.
Other
American companies continue betting on Venezuela, even as Washington
looks at tightening trade ties. Susan Schwab, the United States trade
representative, placed Venezuela last week on a list of 11 developing
countries with relatively high income levels that could lose preferential
trade benefits, a move that drew criticism in Brazil and Argentina but
barely a shrug here.
The
agricultural giant Cargill spent $10 million in July to acquire a Venezuelan
flour-milling concern, though it has also expressed concern over delays
in being able to send dividends to its Minnesota owners.
The
AES Corporation of Arlington, Va., owner of the utility that provides
electricity to Caracas, is enjoying growth of 5 percent a year here,
said Andrés Gluski, a Venezuelan who heads AES’s operations
in the region. “There is no question that the stronger economic
system in Venezuela has helped our business,” Mr. Gluski said.
But
the biggest beneficiary of Venezuela’s commercially robust relationship
with the United States is, paradoxically, the government itself, which
directly controls the oil producer Petróleos de Venezuela.
Despite
persistent criticism of Mr. Chávez’s economic policies
from his political opponents, Venezuela enjoyed a $27.6 billion trade
surplus last year with the United States, by far the largest market
for its oil.
“I’m
reticent to attract much attention to this subject,” said Edmond
Saade, president of the Venezuelan American Chamber of Commerce and
Industry, with 1,200 members. “But really, we’d like to
leave well enough alone.”
Simon
Romero
is
New York Times' correspondent in Caracas. Petroleumworld not necessarily
share these views.
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08/17/06
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