If
the Real Simón Bolívar Met Hugo Chávez,
He’d See Red
Hugo
Chávez y Simom Bolivar
By
James
M. Roberts
If Simón Bolívar had returned to Venezuela in
2007 for his 224th birthday, he would have encountered a large
man sporting a red shirt named Hugo Chávez exploiting
his legacy. Although President Chávez claims to be Bolívar's
worthy successor, the Liberator would see red when comparing
Chávez's "21st century socialism" with the
reality of his regime.
Bolívar would be embarrassed to see Venezuelans being
oppressed by the same kind of Latin American caudillo (strongman)
from which he fought to free them two centuries ago. Bolívar
championed a unified South America and strong constitutional
government to provide the same freedom, equality, and prosperity
that he saw developing in North America. He opposed precisely
the type of one-party, personalized, dictatorial rule
that is embodied by Hugo Chávez.
A self-declared
enemy of the U.S., Chávez aims to dominate
the Caribbean Basin and Andean region and fulfill the long-time
dream of his hero and mentor, Cuban dictator Fidel Castro.
Chávez is a much bigger threat than officials in Washington
seem to realize, and they need to wake up fast.
The Liberator Versus the Oppressor
Simón Bolívar was born into a wealthy aristocratic
family in Caracas on July 24, 1783. After the tragic death
of his young wife, he studied for several years in Europe amidst
the ferment of Enlightenment liberalization philosophies.
Bolívar also visited the young United States of America
and returned to his native Venezuela flush with republican
ideals and intent on achieving independence. He admired
the system of checks and balances on power established in the
U.S. and wanted the same for the people of South America. In
the United States, for the first time in his life, he saw "rational
liberty at hand." Beyond the achievement of independence
from England, Bolívar saw the American Revolution as "a
great social movement, which would improve as well as
liberate" the lives of its citizens.[1]
Comparing
the U.S. with the reality of a South American continent ruled
from afar by the Kingdom of Spain with Napoleon's older
brother Joseph Bonaparte on the throne, Bolívar lost
respect for Napoleon and considered him a traitor to his early
republican ideals. At his December 1804 coronation ceremony,
an impatient Napoleon famously grabbed the coronet and crowned
himself emperor. Although in Paris at the time and invited
to the ceremony, Bolívar was by then thoroughly
disillusioned with Napoleon and refused to attend.[2]
Bolívar returned home and vowed to end the rule of
the autocratic European powers. His crucial victory at the
Battle of Boyaca in August 1819 led to the creation of the
Angostura Congress and Gran Colombia—a federation of
present-day Guyana, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama, and Ecuador— which
named Bolívar president.
In his
roles as president and liberator, Bolívar adhered
to governing principles that contrast starkly with those of
Chávez.
Bolívar fought against the rule of the mob; Chávez
uses a "mobocracy" to maintain power.
Bolívar resisted any role for the military in Venezuela's
civilian political institutions; Chávez is steadily
militarizing them.[3]
Chávez exploits racial tensions to acquire power; Bolívar
was "committed to racial equality."
Although he used caudillos in his battles to gain independence
from Spain, Bolívar was never one himself. In fact,
he despised the caudillos, referring to them as "tyrants," who
were interested only in their own power and never saw the bigger
picture. Bolívar would have instantly recognized
the "neo-caudillo" in Chávez.[4]
However, Bolívar and Chávez are depressingly
similar in one way. Ironically, the first country where Bolívar
had to share power with the caudillos was Venezuela. He
could not afford to fight the caudillos and liberate Gran Colombia
at the same time. Perhaps that is why "caudillism" is
so ingrained in Venezuela.
Frustrated
by political fragmentation, Bolívar gradually
became more authoritarian. He flirted with proposals from the
landed classes that he roll back the hard-won political liberalization
and agree to become president of Colombia for the rest of his
life, to be succeeded by a monarchy.[5] Chávez has dropped
hints recently that he plans to be president of Venezuela for
a long time. In Minsk on June 29, 2007, with Belarus strongman
Alyaksandr Lukashenka, Chávez predicted that both
leaders "will stay in power for another 20 years."[6]
Notwithstanding
his failings, Simón Bolívar
was a constitutionalist. The populist socialism of Castro and
Chávez would have been heresy to him. Bolívar's
biographer John Lynch states the consensus view of history:
By exploiting
the authoritarian tendency which certainly existed in the
thought and action of Bolívar, regimes in Cuba
and Venezuela claim the Liberator as a patron for their
policies, distorting his ideas in the process. Thus the Bolívar
of liberty and equality is appropriated by a Marxist regime,
which does not hold liberty and equality in high esteem but
needs a substitute for the failed Soviet model.[7]
If Hugo
Chávez ever holds a ceremony to crown himself
with his red beret as emperor, the ghost of Simón Bolívar
will surely not be in attendance.
Learning
from Allende's Mistakes. If Chávez is not
another Bolívar, then who is he? The real Hugo Chávez
fits the mold of some of his leftist heroes: Omar Torrijos
of Panama, Juan Velasco of Peru, Che Guevara, and (obviously)
Fidel Castro.[8] Almost as soon as Castro toppled the notoriously
corrupt Batista government in 1959, he proclaimed that he would
establish communism throughout the hemisphere, using armed
guerrilla violence (and later urban terrorism) to achieve power.
In the
early 1970s, with Castro's support and thousands of Cuban "advisers," Salvador
Allende attempted to transform mineral-rich Chile into a
worker's paradise by gaining political
power through constitutional mechanisms. Fortunately for Chile,
President Allende created economic chaos, hyperinflation, and
unemployment. He lost public support, and democracy was eventually
restored.
Venezuela
has been an even bigger target for Castro because
of its oil and close proximity to Cuba. Early on, he focused
on destabilizing it,[9] and he began grooming Chávez
as soon as the two met in 1994 after Chávez was released
from prison for leading a coup attempt in 1992.[10] Castro
did not want to miss another opportunity as he had in Chile,
so he coached Chávez to avoid the mistakes made by Allende.
Following Allende's example, Chávez has used every legal
means available to acquire and tighten his hold on power. Unlike
Allende, however, Chávez has been more careful.
Slowly Tightening His Grip on Venezuela
When Chávez led the unsuccessful coup attempt against
the democratically elected Venezuelan government in 1992,
he made plain his belief that democracies can and should be
overthrown by force. Since taking office in 1999, President
Chávez has steadily tightened his grip on power in Venezuela.
He dissolved the National Assembly, and then his party, using
rigged election rules, gained control of every seat in the
Assembly, which "in January 2007 granted him ‘special
decree powers' for 18 months, under which Mr. Chávez
is empowered to issue decrees in 11 key areas without having
to seek legislative approval."[11] He has packed the courts
at every level with party apparatchiks.
Especially
since his December 2006 re-election— which
political opponents claim he manipulated— Chávez
has been moving steadily from dictatorship to a sort of "tropical
authoritarianism." Chávez has "resorted to
autocratic and authoritarian practices to consolidate his rule" and
has "few, if any, checks and balances" on his "extraordinary
concentration of power."[12] He is currently choreographing
a change to his Bolivarian Constitution that would permit him
to remain in office indefinitely.[13] Among the constitutional "reforms" Chávez
announced on August 15, 2007, are provisions that "would
extend presidential terms from six to seven years and eliminate
current limits on his re-election." Chávez "also
wants the central government to have greater control over local
government and would end the autonomy of Venezuela's Central
Bank—potentially funneling billions of dollars in foreign
reserves" into the regime's coffers.[14]
Chávez has revised Venezuela's criminal code to impose
penalties of up to 40 months in prison for expressing "disrespect" for
the president or the government. Venezuela "is reverting
to one-man rule of the most corrupt and primitive Latin American
type."[15] Chávez has militarized the government
of Venezuela, once one of oldest democracies in Latin
America but now rebranded by Chávez as a Bolivarian
Republic. He has put fellow military officers in charge of
most of the provincial state governments, as well as the police
forces. They also hold other traditionally civilian public
administration posts. Under Chávez, Venezuela is
becoming the same kind of command-economy police state that
Cuba became when Castro took power in 1959.[16]
Although
Chávez has not yet gone as far as the Soviets
in banning freedom of religious expression, he has clashed
repeatedly with the Roman Catholic Church, most recently during
Pope Benedict XVI's May 2007 visit to Latin America.[17] Chávez
has tried "to limit the influence of the Catholic Church
and missionary groups in certain geographic, social, and political
areas." In October 2005, President Chávez accused
missionaries from the New Tribes Mission, a U.S.-based religious
group, of "contaminating the cultures of indigenous populations
as well as carrying out illicit activities with the group's
small aircraft."[18] In October 2005, the U.S.-based
Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (Mormons) quietly
withdrew all of its non-Venezuelan (mostly American) missionaries[19]
after strong hints that harm might come to them.
In May
2007, Chávez refused to renew the license of
RCTV, Venezuela's oldest and most popular television channel,
thereby taking it off the air. It was also the only remaining
station with nationwide coverage that carried content not controlled
by Chávez. Although this sparked numerous protests,
some of them violent, RCTV programming remains off the air
in Venezuela, although it is again available on cable television.
RCTV was the most powerful voice of the opposition, reaching
into most people's homes across the country with reports and
analysis that questioned many aspects of Chávez's reign.
Chávez has also threatened to close down cable channel
Globovision, the only other television channel that has strongly
criticized the government.
Venezuela
now has no "over the air" television stations
free to air views critical of Chávez or his regime.
Only two cable channels, Globovision and now RCTV, criticize
the government, but lower-income groups generally do not have
access to cable television.
Diverse
organizations and individuals from both the left and the
right have criticized Chávez's treatment of
the media, including the European Union, the Inter-American
Commission on Human Rights, various Members of the U.S. Congress,
the Chilean Senate, Reporters without Borders, and Human Rights
Watch.[20]
Chávez has responded to his critics by calling them "fascists" and
making "chilling threats of retribution." His
response to both the protesters and any media organizations
that oppose him is an iron fist. So far, his tough stance has
worked. High oil prices have allowed him to buy off many potential
political opponents. "Chávez cannot appear to be
weak among his own people, or to be another Allende," said
Steve Ellner, a political scientist at Oriente University
in eastern Venezuela.[21]
PdVSA:
From Oil Company to Social Welfare Agency. In Bolívar's
day, tobacco, not oil, was Venezuela's big export. However,
the temptation to divert revenues was the same then, and Bolívar
opposed it strenuously. He ordered revenue from tobacco to
be "ploughed back into production."[22]
Faced with
a similar situation, Hugo Chávez has done
just the opposite. He has spent the huge revenues generated
by Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PdVSA), the giant state-owned
oil company, to extend his political power and enrich his supporters.
Billions have vanished into Fonden, the non-transparent national
development assistance fund created by Chávez.[23] According
to critics, Chávez's social spending has made PdVSA
resemble a state piggybank more than an oil company and has
left the company with little focus. PdVSA has been spending
nearly twice as much on social programs as it spent on its
oil and gas operations.[24]
PdVSA recently
borrowed $4.5 billion from the central bank "to
obtain resources...in order to strengthen its 2007–2008
budget," according to Finance Minister Rodrigo Cabezas.
Jose Guerra, former director of the Central Bank of Venezuela,
questioned the need for the funds, given record high oil prices
that should provide the company with plenty of cash. "Something
is happening (at PdVSA) that is weakening its cash flow."[25]
Minister of Energy Rafael Ramirez, a fanatical Chávista,
is also the President of PdVSA—a clear conflict of interest.
Analysts
report that higher oil prices have masked the decline in
Venezuelan oil production. "Since Chávez took
over, production in the state-run oil fields has fallen almost
50 percent, say analysts at PFC Energy, who spoke on condition
of anonymity rather than risk the wrath of the Venezuelan
government."[26] The Chávez regime denies this
allegation, but tellingly, the public company no longer
publishes monthly, quarterly, or annual results. PdVSA's managers
are overwhelmed by too many projects, including energy integration
and plans for new pipelines, refineries, and liquid natural
gas plants, along with taking majority control of major projects
in the Orinoco Belt.[27]
Cursed
with Oil. Oil has rightly been termed "the devil's
excrement" because of the noxious effects it has on the
politics of its possessor. Former Minister of Economy Moises
Naim notes that Venezuela is unique in Latin America for having
a government that claims to be wealthy rather than poor.
The popular
misconception that Venezuela is a wealthy country has been
perversely translated by the bulk of Venezuelans into "I
live in a rich country, yet I am poor. Therefore someone
stole my money." Chávez has ably exploited the
resentment fostered by this myth, which, Naim maintains, explains
the significant number of poor people and income inequality.
In addition to reciting this version of Venezuela's history,
Chávez follows up in his speeches by pointing the finger
of blame at the U.S. for imposing the painful Washington Consensus
market reforms of the 1990s that seemed to reward only the
elites and foreign investors through large-scale privatization.
However,
as Naim points out, "Venezuela's problem
is not too much globalization but too little." Market
reforms would have worked if they had been fully implemented,
but they never were. Naim also blames the rise of Chávez
on the failure of Acción Democrática and Comité de
Organización Política Electoral Independiente
(COPEI), the two major political parties, which were weakened
by over 50 years of pervasive corruption among Venezuelan
politicians who yielded to the temptations posed by easy oil
money.
Naim believes
that the Chávez era has a low probability
of making Venezuela's poor more prosperous and free. He
predicts that the Chávez administration's failure
after eight years in office to deliver on its promises of a
better life for the majority will "create political instability
that could lead to the erosion of civil liberties."[28]
No Better
Off Under Chávez. The reality is that the
Chávez regime has not reduced extreme poverty and income
inequality. According to the United Nations Development Program's
Human Development Index, Venezuela's score showed virtually
no improvement between 1995 and 2003.[29]
Similarly,
Venezuela's Gini coefficient, a measurement
of income inequality, has improved only marginally in
the Chávez years. According to World Bank statistics,
Venezuela's Gini Index in 1998 was 50 and improved to only
48 by 2003.[30]
Nevertheless,
the handouts to the poor have made Chávez
popular. According to analysts like Edmond Saade, president
of the Venezuelan American Chamber of Commerce and Industry:
The poor
are getting free food and free medical attention and this
makes them feel better, even if they are not being
empowered to become producers and to break away from the
paternalistic "revolution." The spending spree, however,
has not been accompanied by long-term investment.[31]
Full Nationalization
of the Economy. In December 2006,
Chávez was re-elected to another six-year term in a
landslide while major opposition parties stayed on the sidelines
in protest.[32] Almost immediately, in January 2007, an
emboldened Chávez "shocked the market by declaring
the energy and telecommunications sectors to be ‘strategic'
and therefore subject to nationalization."[33]
His first
targets were major U.S. corporations. His government began
to buy back controlling interests in a number of Venezuelan
firms from U.S. companies that had invested in Venezuela
during the market reform era in the 1990s. In February,
Chávez forced Verizon to sell its 28.5 percent stake
in CANTV, the country's biggest telecommunications company,
and his government is buying back all remaining CANTV shares
traded on the New York Stock Exchange.[34] Chávez also
instructed AES, a U.S. firm, to sell back at a loss its 82
percent interest in Venezuela's largest private utility company.[35]
In his
most dramatic move toward centralization, on May
1, Chávez ordered PdVSA to take 78 percent interest
in joint ventures in the Orinoco heavy oil fields. ExxonMobil
and ConocoPhillips, two major U.S. companies, were forced to
abandon their multibillion-dollar investments.[36]
Banks and
steel companies appear to be next on his acquisition list.
Many observers accuse Chávez of using nationalizations
to distract people's attention from the problems that
his government has created. The Venezuelan private sector
has been in turmoil since the nationalizations began.[37] Meanwhile,
Chávez is swelling the ranks of already bloated government
ministries with jobs for his supporters, straining the budget.
One measure
of the loss of economic freedom in Venezuela under Chávez is its ranking in the annual Index of Economic
Freedom, published by The Heritage Foundation and The
Wall Street Journal. In 1998, before President Chávez
took office, Venezuela ranked 107th out of 154 countries.[38]
By 2007, after eight years of Chávez in office, Venezuela's
ranking had dropped to 144th out of 157 countries.[39]
Ignoring
the disastrous lessons of Soviet collectivized
agriculture, Chávez has targeted private producers
and large landowners for nationalization, saying that they
are not producing enough. He has directed "regional and
municipal governments to expropriate food growers and cattle
ranchers with idle capacity, and to investigate private industries
that are attempting to block the new socialist-based enterprises."[40]
Other cattle ranches and large landholdings are being
taken over with the excuse that their ownership titles cannot
be traced to colonial times, and Chávez is giving the
land to squatters. Even chicken farmers are not beyond the
reach of Chávez, who said that if they "and ranchers
refuse to take their animals to the slaughterhouse, we will
seize the cows within the framework of the constitution
and the country's laws."[41] Among proposed constitutional "reforms" announced
by Chavez on August 15, 2007, are provisions that will enable
his regime to expropriate virtually all land in Venezuela:
[Chavez's]
new property rights regime envisage[s]…"communal
and collective" forms of ownerships. Large landholdings,
the so-called "latifundios" against which the government
has battled since the 2001 Land Law was introduced, will simply
be considered a banned type of ownership.[42]
The clear
threat to any kind of investment has had the predictable
result of creating ongoing shortages of staples—including
eggs, milk, meat, chicken, and cooking oil—that disproportionately
affect the poorest Venezuelans.
Rising Crime. A recent State Department notice warns:
U.S. citizens
contemplating travel to Venezuela should
carefully consider the risks to their safety and security.
Violent crime, including express kidnappings, has increased
in Venezuela, particularly in major cities and along the border
with Colombia. In Caracas, violent crime has become an everyday
occurrence.[43]
According
to a 2005 U.N. report, more people die from gunfire in Venezuela
than in any other country on earth. The rise in
lawlessness can be traced in part to an increasingly corrupt
police force, the example set by the government's expropriations
of private property, and the polarized atmosphere of class
warfare that Chávez has encouraged. The homicide rate
has doubled since Chávez took office in 1999,[44] and
Caracas suffers from the highest homicide rate of any city
in the Western Hemisphere.
Rising
Inflation. High oil prices have allowed Venezuela to bring
in billions in hard currency reserves, but Chávez
is spending them even faster. His generous handouts to the
poor and other public works spending are causing the government's
budget deficit to grow just as GDP growth is slowing, in part
from Dutch disease.[45] "There is fear that all of Chávez's
different spending projects will lead to a depletion of
funds," said Francisco Rodriguez, a former chief economist
at Venezuela's National Assembly who teaches at Wesleyan University.[46]
Not content
with the massive inflows of funds from high oil prices, Chávez is borrowing even more. "PdVSA has
borrowed $12 billion so far (in 2007)—returning to the
capital markets for the first time in a decade—despite
being in the midst of an oil boom."[47] Foreign exchange
controls have also stoked excess liquidity.
Chávez is funding massive public works, such as a billion-dollar
Orinoco bridge, a $400 million first phase of "Steel City," and
a sprawling hydroelectric plant. To Caracas economist Jose
Manuel Puente, these programs resemble Venezuelan government-funded
projects of the 1970s, when steel, paper, and aluminum factories
ended up as costly white elephants. "Steel City may collapse,
too," says Puente. "21st century socialism, unfortunately,
is too much like socialism of the 20th century, which failed
and whose lessons apparently the president has not learned."[48]
Ironically,
Chávez has ignored many other needed repairs
to infrastructure. The only bridge connecting Caracas with
its airport was closed for 18 months until a new bridge was
finally opened in June 2007. "The number of major electricity
blackouts increased from 49 in 2004 to 80 in 2005, and major
highways and bridges are in need of substantial repairs."[49]
Many question
how long Venezuela can maintain such a
high level of public expenditure. Although high oil prices
have kept the economy growing, there has been virtually no
job-creating private investment. The heavy public spending
has caused inflation to skyrocket so much that Chávez
recently threatened to nationalize grocery stores if they did
not limit price increases. One attempt at reducing liquidity
in the system, PdVSA's issuance of $7.5 billion in bonds, largely
failed when the bonds were used for capital flight to avoid
foreign exchange controls, thus reducing central bank dollar
reserves.
Venezuela's
inflation rate reached 20 percent in 2006—the
highest in the region.[50] Under Chávez, inflation is
virtually the same as it was in 1999 when he took office.[51]
Of course, this means that the Venezuelan people, especially
the poor, have suffered from the cruelest tax of all—loss
of their purchasing power to inflation.
Worse
Corruption. Corruption has existed in Venezuela since before
the country gained its independence in 1821.
The river of oil revenue that began to gush after the first
oil shock in the 1970s has only intensified the problem.
Simón Bolívar hated corruption and mandated
the death penalty for any judge or public official "guilty
of stealing ten pesos or more."[52] More than a century
later, Lieutenant Colonel Hugo Chávez's anger
at the extensive corruption that he saw in the 1970s and
1980s under the socialist governments of President Carlos
Andres Perez led him to become a leftist.[53]
Ironically,
the level of corruption in Venezuela is now as bad as, if
not far worse than, it was then. The difference
is the scale, lopsidedness, and inefficiency of the Bolivarian
regime's spending. Just as in the past, billions from the windfall
of oil revenues have simply disappeared. Although the Chávez
treasury has taken in as much as $225 billion from oil and
new debt, the government's transparency in handling those funds
has diminished.[54] In Transparency International's Corruption
Perceptions Index, Venezuela has dropped from 130th place out
of 158 countries in 2005 to 138th out of 163 countries
in 2006,[55] the worst showing in Latin America.
Under Chávez, corruption permeates all levels of society.
Bureaucrats rarely follow existing bidding regulations and
demand bribes from ordinary citizens while they neglect
basic government services. A general atmosphere of lawlessness
prevails. Government officials and others connected to
the regime drive new cars and wear designer labels.
Analysts
say these nouveau riche are concentrated in the oil, finance,
construction, and government service sectors. They
are buying luxury condos and jetting off to Miami, just as
the corrupt class that they ousted had done. Pundits call them
the "Boliburguesia," short for Bolivarian bourgeoisie. "They
buy everything: watches, bags and pens, whatever, said one
Montblanc store employee, and they only use cash, especially
the military."[56]
Chavez's
21st Century Socialism. Although an apt student of history
and charismatic military leader,[57] Chávez
has no real understanding of the democratic free-market economies
of the West. While Simón Bolívar favored the
economic liberalism of Adam Smith and advocated free trade
with few restraints on land ownership and labor flexibility,[58]
Chávez's role models appear to be Joseph Stalin,
Mao Zedong, and Castro.[59] Perhaps Chávez has forgotten
that the Soviet bloc collapsed under the weight of its inefficiency
and corruption.
Tutored
in economics by Castro, Chávez either ignores
the disastrous economic outcomes of communism or blames
them on the West. Chávez wants to "accelerate Venezuela's
transformation into a society where a ‘new man' is free
of selfish urges and devoted to the common good." Yet "nine
years into Chávez's rule, some analysts say [that] the
idea of creating a ‘new man' and a classless society
has even less chance of success in Venezuela than past attempts
in other countries, from Russia to Nicaragua and Cuba."[60]
As U.S. Secretary of Commerce (and Cuban–American) Carlos
Gutierrez recently noted, while people around the world
have been enjoying prosperity, buying homes, and earning higher
wages, the average monthly income in Cuba is about $10, and
pensioners receive about $4 a month.[61]
Notwithstanding
the proven failure of the socialist economic
model, President Chávez has set his country on a backward
journey, complete with state ownership of all assets, monstrously
inefficient bureaucracy, a growing military machine, and state-owned
factories that produce inferior goods. This retrograde policy
of 21st century socialism harkens back to the statist and protectionist
import substitution policies based on Argentine economist
Raul Prebisch's widely discredited dependency theory. Caudillos
in South America implemented "import substitution" in
the 1950s and 1960s with disastrous consequences.[62]
One of the worst outcomes occurred in Argentina under the rule
of Juan Peron, another populist strongman.[63] "From 1880
to 1930 Argentina became one of the world's 10 wealthiest nations
based on rapid expansion of agriculture and foreign investment
in infrastructure."[64] By 2005, it was in 33rd place.[65]
Reaching Beyond Venezuela
President
Chávez's number one goal is to reduce the
role and influence of the United States. He asserts that the
international financial institutions (IFIs), especially the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, are mere
instruments of U.S. domination and imperialism.
Typically,
Chávez ignores the 60 years of sustained
prosperity that millions of people around the world have enjoyed
under the Bretton Woods system. Although they clearly
need reforms to mesh better with today's globalized economy,
the IFIs continue to be useful as instruments to encourage
difficult but ultimately productive reforms. The vague alternatives
to the IFIs put forth to date by Chávez would clearly
point countries in the opposite direction toward socialism.
Chávez wants to abolish the Washington Consensus,
a series of policy reforms needed for an economy to enter the
modern world—macroeconomic discipline, microeconomic
liberalization, and participation in the global economy—that
was put together in 1989 by IMF economist John Williamson.
The IFIs have prescribed these measures to press governments
to limit spending, raise interest rates, and open their economies
to foreign trade and investment.[66]
Chávez fiercely rejects that advice, mistakenly blaming
it for the series of financial and political crises that
struck Venezuela beginning in 1989.[67] In fact, these reforms
succeeded in beating back inflation, increasing capital
inflows and investment, and contributing to modest growth in
Latin America. Chávez took advantage of the disillusionment
caused by the reforms' failure to reduce extreme poverty and
income inequality or to deliver the hefty economic growth that
is dramatically reducing poverty in China and India.
To further
his goal, Chávez has paid off Venezuela's
IFI debt. Blaming IFIs for continued poverty throughout Latin
America, he has declared that he will pull Venezuela out of
the lending bodies.[68] He has also used his country's oil
wealth to pay off IFI loans of Ecuador, Bolivia, and Argentina.
With their loans paid off, the IFIs have little leverage to
keep those countries on the right track.
Meanwhile,
investors have begun selling Venezuelan bonds
amid confusion over Chávez's announcement that the country
would exit the IMF. Investors could demand quick payment of
billions of dollars of these bonds if Chávez follows
through and leaves the fund, setting off a possible default.[69]
Petro-Diplomacy.
Chávez seeks to drive out U.S. investment—and
influence—from Venezuela and has targeted major U.S.
corporations.[70] In March 2007, he unveiled a number of proposed
oil-related deals with China. China National Petroleum Corporation
and PdVSA will develop the biggest chunk yet of Venezuela's
Orinoco River region in the same area where Chávez is
nationalizing the projects of U.S. companies. Orinoco heavy
crude will be ferried to China in a jointly owned "super
fleet" of tankers and processed there at three new refineries.
Chávez has also favored state-run companies from other
authoritarian capitalist countries, including Vietnam, Iran,
and Belarus.[71]
The ambitious
Mr. Chávez is also trying to force U.S.
oil companies out of the Caribbean market altogether. He has
committed more than $20 billion to various energy and trade
cooperation agreements with Caribbean and Latin American nations.[72]
Cuba, the
Dominican Republic, and nearly every member of the 15-nation
Caribbean Community have joined PetroCaribe.
Chávez promises that PetroCaribe beneficiary countries
will get 25-year loans at 1 percent interest, but they must
purchase only PdVSA oil products through government-owned
fuel distribution companies. Although Chávez has garnered
plenty of favorable press from PetroCaribe, relatively little
oil has actually been delivered under its terms. Meanwhile,
Chávez angrily opposes a U.S.–Brazil biofuels
assistance initiative meant to compete with the PetroCaribe
plan.[73]
ALBA. Chávez is pushing a high-tariff South American
customs union that he would run to defeat the U.S. goal of
a hemispheric free trade agreement. He has joined with leaders
of the Mercosur trade bloc countries (Argentina, Brazil,
Paraguay, and Uruguay) to thwart American attempts to
restart the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) negotiations.
Chávez and Castro created the Bolivarian Alternative
for the Americas (ALBA) as Latin America's answer to the FTAA.
ALBA members are to receive petroleum-funded benefits even
more generous than those in the PetroCaribe program. Chávez's
hidden agenda is to use ALBA to coordinate common defense,
economic, and foreign policies and to control the education
and health ministries in every ALBA country. At the heart of
ALBA is a rejection of capitalist values, which the member
countries would replace with "solidarity" and "complementary"—rather
than "exploitative"— trade. Venezuelan professor
Demetrio Boersner believes that Chávez may require ALBA
member nations to break their commercial ties with the United
States.[74]
In late
April 2007, Chávez invited Cuban Vice President
Carlos Lage, Sandinista President of Nicaragua Daniel
Ortega, Socialist President of Bolivia Evo Morales, and left-leaning
Haitian President Rene Preval to an ALBA Summit in Barquisimetro,
Venezuela. Four other neighboring countries (Ecuador,
Uruguay, Dominica, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines) sent
observers. At the summit, Chávez announced an ALBA financial
cooperation fund of $250 million. "The enemy is still
the same: capitalism," said Ortega. "Only the form
of struggle has changed."[75]
Other summit
participants criticized the FTAA as a capitalist scheme to
exploit the resources of poor countries in the region.
They condemned the IMF and the World Bank as "tools of
U.S. policy." Bolivia and Venezuela announced that they
would withdraw from a World Bank mechanism for the resolution
of investment disputes known as the International Centre for
Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). Bolivian President
Morales said of ICSID's rulings, "The transnationals always
win."[76] Chávez even threatened to pull Venezuela
out of the Organization of American States if its Inter-American
Human Rights Court rules against him in a case relating to
press freedom.
To date,
neither PetroCaribe nor ALBA has brought many tangible political
benefits to Chávez. In 2006, Venezuela lost
its effort to win a seat on the U.N. Security Council, and
in a recent vote for the presidency of the Inter-American Development
Bank, even PetroCaribe beneficiaries went against the Chávez
candidate.
ALBA has
received a lukewarm reception in the ABC countries (Argentina,
Brazil and Chile), which are reluctant either to
join Chávez's Bush-bashing, anti-U.S. pact or to let
him into Mercosur as a full member. While Chávez hosted
his ALBA Summit in April, President George W. Bush met
with Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. The two
leaders struck conciliatory notes about future hemispheric
trade rules.
The Growing Security Threat to the United States
Hugo Chávez's policies are an imminent threat to the
United States. Under the Chávez regime, according to
the 2007 International Narcotics Control Strategy Report
(INCSR) issued by the U.S. Department of State, Venezuela has
become "one of the principal drug-transit countries in
the Western Hemisphere." The success of U.S.-funded programs
is putting pressure on narcotics traffickers in Colombia and
causing them to shift their smuggling toward Venezuela and
other countries.[77]
The INCSR
also charges that Venezuela's "rampant
high level corruption, weak judicial system and lack of international
counternarcotics cooperation are increasingly enabling a growing
illicit drug transshipment industry." It reports
that "organized crime is flourishing" under Chávez
and that "seizures of illicit drugs within Venezuela dropped
sharply in 2006, while seizures by other countries of drugs
coming out of Venezuela more than tripled."[78] In 2006,
Chávez barred the Drug Enforcement Administration
from operating in Venezuela, accusing it of operating spy networks
in the country.[79]
U.S. drug
war czar John Walters reports that "Latin American
cartels are using commercial airports and ports in Venezuela
as a ‘safe base' to ship increasing quantities of cocaine."[80]
Haiti is a major transit country for cocaine being smuggled
from Venezuela to the U.S. A recent State Department report
alleged that small planes operating at night fly from Venezuela
to numerous airstrips on the south coast of Haiti. The planes
deliver cocaine, which Haitian "mules" then carry
to the northern coast of Haiti or to the Dominican Republic
for shipment to the U.S. On the return flights, the planes
allegedly carry weapons and laundered drug money back to Venezuela.
The Venezuelan government dismissed the report as a "provocation" and
a "lie."[81]
A Military
Threat to His Neighbors? Venezuela may soon purchase nine
Russian Kilo-class diesel submarines at a cost of more
than $2 billion. A Chávez military adviser boasts that
the Russian submarines would make Venezuela's navy the
strongest in the region. Chávez has already bought $3
billion worth of Russian weapons, including 53 military helicopters,
100,000 Kalashnikov rifles, and 24 Su-30 fighter jets. A government
spokesman defends this heavy arms buildup as necessary "to
defend Venezuela's coast and to ensure [the safety] of routes
by which its exports leave."[82] Chávez is also
shopping for an integrated air defense system from Belarus
with a range of 200–300 kilometers.[83]
A far-fetched
notion to some, Chávez could possibly
risk a Falklands-like conflict by using his new arsenal to
pursue Venezuelan land claims against neighboring Colombia,
Guyana, and Holland, which controls the Dutch Antilles islands
of Aruba, Curacao, and Bonaire. Chávez might also be
tempted to grab the massive oil and natural gas reserves of
nearby Trinidad and Tobago. With such an attack in mind, the
government of the Netherlands has sent military forces
to the islands. Venezuela would have a huge tactical advantage,
however, unless Holland's NATO allies, especially the U.S.,
stepped in to help.[84]
In the
short term, the weapons purchases have served Chávez
and his cronies by providing fat kickbacks for the boliburguesia
military officers and apparatchiks. They have also significantly
worsened the already serious problem of weapons proliferation
in the hemisphere.
Chávez has ratcheted up tensions in other ways too.
He recently ordered his troops to "prepare for a guerrilla-style
war against the United States," claiming that the U.S.
is trying to undermine his government and plans to invade Venezuela
and seize its immense oil reserves. Chávez has ordered
his troops to greet one another with "Patria, Socialismo,
o Muerte" (fatherland, socialism, or death) and has warned
his soldiers to "think and prepare everyday for the resistance
war, that's the anti-imperialist weapon."[85] Chávez
has called for a common ALBA defense pact of Venezuela, Cuba,
Nicaragua, and Bolivia to become "more independent of
U.S. influence."[86]
In addition,
Chávez has been receiving help from military
and intelligence advisers from the Castro government since
before the 1992 coup attempt. Castro has sent 20,000 Cuban
doctors to Venezuela whose extracurricular duties include propaganda,
intelligence gathering, and reportedly Chávez's personal
security.
Colluding
with Iran. Iran and Venezuela are two of the world's top
oil-producing countries. President Chávez has very
close ties with Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and
the two often refer to each other as "brother." A
man recently accused of plotting to bomb JFK airport was arrested
aboard a Venezuelan airline flight from Trinidad to Caracas,
where he was to pick up an Iranian visa. Venezuela and Iran
are members of a radical subgroup in the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) that wants to maintain higher
oil prices by reducing production and to use oil as a political
weapon.[87]
Mimicking
his Holocaust-denying Iranian "brother," Chávez
has made anti-Semitic comments:
The world
is for all of us, then. But it so happens that a minority,
the descendents of the same ones that crucified Christ,
the descendants of the same ones that kicked Bolívar
out of here and also crucified him in their own way over there
in Santa Marta, in Colombia—a minority has taken possession
of all the wealth in the world.[88]
Bolívar did indeed die at age 47 of tuberculosis in
Santa Marta on December 17, 1830, but there is no evidence
that his death was the result of a Zionist conspiracy.[89]
Ahmadinejad
has sent teams to advise Chávez on ways
to fortify his stranglehold on Venezuela. It is likely that
Iranian experts at media manipulation advised Chávez
to step up his crackdown on dissent. The two leaders have signed
economic agreements worth billions of dollars, many of them
in the energy field.[90] On a 2006 visit to Tehran, Chávez
said, "We will stand with Iran under all circumstances."
Venezuela
also has joined with Syria and Cuba in supporting Iran's
nuclear development program.[91] Chávez has asked
Iran for assistance in building a nuclear reactor and could
eventually obtain nuclear weapons from Iran. There are reports
that Iranian scientists may already be working at uranium mines
in the lower Orinoco River basin, and Bolivia may soon grant
Iran concessions to mine for uranium in Bolivia's eastern lowlands,
where Chávez has positioned troops.[92]
Slow Washington
Response. Until recently, the United States has been too
busy to worry about Venezuela. September
11 distracted top U.S. policymakers from paying enough
attention to Latin America in general and Venezuela in particular.
Moreover, although Washington officials saw the democratically
elected Chávez as thuggish and did not like his increasingly
undemocratic practices, they did not see him as directly threatening
U.S. interests. Now that it has become clear that he is a direct
threat, Washington has finally begun to act.
In contrast, Cuba's attention to Venezuela has been sustained
and effective. That is because Havana has had the need, the
opportunity, and the means to be the most significant foreign
influence in the Venezuelan crisis.[93]
What the U.S. Should Do
What should
Washington do to counter Hugo Chávez? Chávez
will continue his efforts to turn Venezuela's neighbors
against the United States through petro-diplomacy and rhetorical
rants against the U.S. and free markets. The Bush Administration
has wisely refused to react to his taunts and threats, but
it must deliver the message of good governance, the benefits
of the free market, democratic principles, and respect for
the rule of law more aggressively.
Specifically, the Bush Administration should:
Push for
the Organization of American States to censure the Chávez
government for its crackdown on press freedom.
Attempt to restart negotiations with Brazil toward a Free Trade
Area of the Americas agreement.
Pursue bilateral FTAs with Paraguay and Uruguay to isolate
Chávez and to ensure that they continue to play by the
rules of the free market. Linking trade agreements to commitments
to good governance and free-market practices allows the U.S.
to deal with Latin American countries based on their actions
and practices.
Work actively with neighbors and allies to combat security
threats through cooperative efforts to battle transnational
terrorism, crime, and trafficking in illegal substances. This
would create permanent working relationships and serve to counter
anti-American messages.
For its part, Congress should:
Immediately permit duty-free imports of Brazilian ethanol
as an incentive for Brazil.
Approve the trade promotion agreements as originally negotiated
with Panama, Peru, and especially Colombia to continue the
momentum for job-creating growth from free trade in the
region. Free trade agreements are one of the best tools the
U.S. has to counter anti-American and anti-democratic forces
in Latin America.
Increase funding for additional focused, efficient development
assistance to the region through the Millennium Challenge Corporation
to address income disparities and the need for economic and
political reforms that Chávez is exploiting rather than
addressing.
Hold new hearings about the national and energy security threat,
both to the U.S. and to Venezuela's neighbors, from the increasingly
totalitarian and militaristic Chávez regime, which appears
to tolerate narcotics smuggling and has a clear anti-U.S. agenda.
Extend Andean Trade Preferences for Bolivia and Ecuador before
they expire in February 2008. Although their leftist leaders
have personally embraced Chávez, both countries
have distanced themselves somewhat from his actual policies.
Extending trade preferences would be a gesture of cooperation
that would give the U.S. more leverage to press these countries
to return to the path of market-based democracy.
Conclusion
Historically,
the United States has been Venezuela's main trade and investment
partner and its biggest oil market, but
global energy demand is growing. Venezuela has the largest
proven oil reserves outside of the Middle East, and although
the U.S. market is close by, Hugo Chávez wants to diminish
its importance. This would make the U.S. even more reliant
on oil from the volatile Persian Gulf.
Chávez
aspires to counter U.S. influence in Latin America and the
Caribbean by uniting the region under a socialist regime
that he would lead. He can be expected to continue his petro-diplomacy
and rhetorical rants against the U.S. and free markets.
Unless
the U.S. increases its presence through additional support
for democratic market-based institutions, Hugo Chávez's
aspirations could bear bitter fruit. A strong and resolute
U.S. government should seek to avoid repeating past mistakes
and instead act to encourage true reform in the region.[94]
Notes:
[1]
John Lynch, Simón Bolívar: A Life (New Haven
and London: Yale University Press, 2006), pp. 39 and 151.
[2] Ibid., p. 25.
[3]
Gustavo Coronel, "Corruption, Mismanagement, and
Abuse of Power in Hugo Chávez's Venezuela," Cato
Institute, Center for Global Liberty & Prosperity Development
Policy Analysis No. 2, November 27, 2006, p. 2, at www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=6787
(June 19, 2007).
[4]
Lynch, Simón Bolívar, pp. 269, 289, and
304.
[5]
Ibid., pp. 142 and 262–266.
[6] "Chávez: U.S. Treats Venezuela, Belarus As
Dictatorships," El Universal, June 29, 2007, at http://english.eluniversal.com/2007/06/29/en_pol_art
_Chávez:-us-treats-ve_29A892137.shtml (July 5, 2007).
[7]
Lynch, Simón Bolívar, p. 304.
[8]
Richard Gott, Hugo Chávez and the Bolivarian Revolution
in Venezuela (London and New York: Verso, 2005), pp. 35–36,
60, 124, and 178.
[9]
James R. Whelan, Out of the Ashes: Life, Death and Transfiguration
of Democracy in Chile, 1833–1988 (Washington, D.C.: Regnery
Gateway, 1989), pp. 250–251, 314, and 340–345.
[10]
Gott, Hugo Chávez and the Bolivarian Revolution
in Venezuela, p. 124.
[11]
Economist Intelligence Unit, "Venezuela: Threats
and Bluster," May 14, 2007.
[12]
Michael Shifter, "Hugo Chávez: A Test for
U.S. Policy," Inter-American Dialogue Special Report,
March 2007, at www.thedialogue.org/publications/2007/spring
/venezuela.pdf (June 7, 2007).
[13]
Steven Dudley, "Exasperated by Chávez, More
Venezuelans Leave," The Miami Herald, May 1, 2007, p.
A1.
[14]
Fabiola Sanchez, "Opponents of Venezuela's Chavez
Vow to Fight Proposed Constitutional Reform," Associated
Press, August 16, 2007, at www.lexis.com/research/retrieve/frames?_
m=5f89699f0109836741433fed430bccc3&
csvc=fr&cform=free&_fmtstr=XCITE&
docnum=1&_startdoc=1&wchp=dGLzVlz
-zSkAk&_md5=0520efd25f2bbb475d8ee3ce37610f0d (August 17,
2007).
[15]
David Frum, "Democracy's One-Man Wrecking Crew," National
Post, June 2, 2007.
[16]
Juan Forero, "Venezuela Poised to Hand Chávez
Wide-Ranging Powers," The Washington Post, January 31,
2007, p. A1.
[17]
Patrick J. McDonnell, "Latin American Groups, Leaders
Decry Pope's Remarks on Conquest," Los Angeles Times,
May 23, 2007, p. A9.
[18]
U.S. Department of State, Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights,
and
Labor, "International Religious Freedom Report
2006: Venezuela," September 15, 2006, at www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/irf/2006/71478.htm
(July 6, 2007).
[19] "LDS Missionaries Evacuate Venezuela," Deseret
News (Salt Lake City), October 26, 2005, at http://deseretnews.com/dn/view/0,1249,
635156281,00.html (August 8, 2007).
[20]
Benedict Mander, "Protest at Chávez's TV
Clampdown," Financial Times,May 31, 2007, at www.ft.com/cms/s/df73c472-0fba-11dc-a66f-000b5df10621%2Cdwp
_uuid%3D8fa2c9cc-2f77-11da-8b51-00000e2511c8.html (June 12,
2007).
[21]
Simon Romero, "Chávez Looks at His Critics
in the Media and Sees the Enemy," The New York Times,
June 1, 2007, p. A6.
[22]
Lynch, Simón Bolívar, p. 162.
[23]
Steven Dudley, "Oil Spawns New Wave of Newly Rich," The
Miami Herald, July 17, 2006.
[24]
Gordon Platt, "Oil Bonds Boost Venezuelan Bolívar," Global
Finance, June 2007, at www.gfmag.com/index.php?idPage=493 (August
8, 2007).
[25]
Fabiola Sanchez, "Venezuela Dismisses Concerns over
Sharp Fall in Foreign Reserves," Associated Press,May
11, 2007.
[26]
Danna Harman, "Venezuela's Oil Model: Is Production
Rising or Falling?" The Christian Science Monitor, May
31, 2006, at www.csmonitor.com/2006/0531/p04s01-woam.html (June
18, 2007).
[27]
Benedict Mander, "Instrument of Revolution," Financial
Times,May 8, 2007, p. 5.
[28]
Moises Naim, "The Venezuelan Story: Revisiting the
Conventional Wisdom," Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace, April 2001, at www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/
index.cfm?fa=view&id=652 (June 8, 2007).
[29]
U.N. Development Program, "Human Development Index
Trends," at http://hdr.undp.org/statistics/data/indic/indic_12_1_1.html
(June 18, 2007).
[30] World Bank, World Development Indicators Online,at http://go.worldbank.org/B53SONGPA0
(June 11, 2007; subscription required). The Gini Index measures
income inequality on a scale from 0 to 100, with 100 being
perfect inequality and 0 being perfect equality.
[31]
Dudley, "Oil
Spawns New Wave of Newly Rich."
[32]
U.S. Department of State, "Background Note: Venezuela," February
2007, at www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35766.htm (June 29, 2007).
[33]
Economist Intelligence Unit, "Venezuela: Threats
and Bluster."
[34] "Venezuela Gets Control of Telecom; Caracas Aims
to Delist CANTV from the NYSE," The International Herald
Tribune, May 10, 2007.
[35]
Associated Press, "AES Swings to 1st-Quarter Loss
on Charge from Sale of Stake in Venezuelan Power Company," June
21, 2007.
[36]
International Petroleum Finance, "Orinoco Projects
Change Hands," May 3, 2007.
[37]
Jens Erik Gould, "Venezuela Disavows 1980s-Era Bonds," The
New York Times, March 7, 2007, p. C1.
[38]
Bryan T. Johnson, Kim R. Holmes, and Melanie Kirkpatrick,
1998
Index of Economic Freedom (Washington, D.C.: The Heritage
Foundation and Dow Jones & Company, Inc. 1998), pp. 363–364.
[39]
Tim Kane, Kim R. Holmes, and Mary Anastasia O'Grady, 2007
Index
of Economic Freedom (Washington, D.C.: The Heritage
Foundation and Dow Jones & Company, Inc. 2007), pp. 389–390,
at www.heritage.org/index/countries.cfm.
[40]
Economist Intelligence Unit, "Venezuela Economy:
Shortages Prompt Takeover Threats," June 18, 2007.
[41]
Doug MacEachern, "World Media Too Kind to Venezuela's
Tyrant," The Arizona Republic, June 3, 2007.
[42]
Marion Barbel, "Constitutional Reform Plan for Venezuela
Mixes Enhanced State Control with Extended and Unlimited Terms," Global
Insight, August 16, 2007, at www.lexis.com/research/retrieve/frames?_m=5f89699f0109836741433fed430bccc3
&
csvc=fr&cform=free&_fmtstr=XCITE&docnum=1&
_startdoc=1&wchp=dGLzVlz-zSkAk&_
md5=0520efd25f2bbb475d8ee3ce37610f0d (August 17, 2007).
[43]
U.S. Department of State, "Public Announcement:
Copa America," June 22, 2007, at http://caracas.usembassy.gov/news_en.asp?news=130
(June 25, 2007).
[44]
Jose Orozco, "Whose Revolution?" Ottawa Citizen,
May 19, 2007.
[45]
Mander, "Instrument
of Revolution."
[46]
Simon Romero, "Chávez Rattles Takeover Saber
at Steel Company and Banks," The New York Times, May 7,
2007, p. A6.
[47]
Mander, "Instrument
of Revolution."
[48]
Chris Kraul, "Chávez's Grand, Risky Dream:
The Fiery Venezuelan Leader Is Pouring Oil Wealth into Projects
to Bring Industry to Poor Parts of His Country," Los Angeles
Times, June 23, 2007.
[49]
Coronel, "Corruption, Mismanagement, and Abuse of
Power in Hugo Chávez's Venezuela," p. 2.
[50]
Fabiola Sanchez, "Chávez Threat to Nationalize
Banks Prompts Venezuela Stock Fall," Associated Press,May
5, 2007.
[51]
Economist Intelligence Unit, "Country Profile Report:
Venezuela," 1998–2006.
[52]
Coronel, "Corruption, Mismanagement, and Abuse of
Power in Hugo Chávez's Venezuela."
[53]
Gott, Hugo Chávez and the Bolivarian Revolution
in Venezuela, pp. 36–37 and 71–80.
[54]
Coronel, "Corruption, Mismanagement, and Abuse of
Power in Hugo Chávez's Venezuela."
[55] Transparency International, Corruption Perceptions Index
2005, October 18, 2005, at www.transparency.org/policy_research/
surveys_indices/cpi/2005 (August 8, 2007), and Corruption Perceptions
Index 2006, November 6, 2006, at www.transparency.org/policy_research/
surveys_indices/cpi/2006 (August 8, 2007).
[56]
Dudley, "Oil
Spawns New Wave of Newly Rich."
[57]
Gott, Hugo Chávez and the Bolivarian Revolution
in Venezuela, pp. 35–40.
[58]
Lynch, Simón Bolívar, p. 160.
[59]
Gott, Hugo Chávez and the Bolivarian Revolution
in Venezuela, pp. 94 and 189.
[60]
Bernd Debusmann, "Obstacles to 21st Century Socialism
in Venezuela," The Scotsman, June 20, 2007, at http://news.scotsman.com/latest.cfm?id=964842007
(June 20, 2007).
[61]
Carlos M. Gutierrez, "The People of Cuba Deserve
Better," remarks to Cuba Democracy Advocates, Coral Gables,
Florida, July 21, 2006, at www.cafc.gov/cafc/rls/70858.htm
(July 6, 2007).
[62]
Daniel T. Griswold, "Open Trade: An Important Milestone," in
Marc A. Miles, ed., The Road to Prosperity: The 21st Century
Approach to Economic Development (Washington, D.C.: The Heritage
Foundation, 2004), pp. 82–84.
[63]
Al Harberger, "Latin America's Ill-Fated Import-Substitution
Policy," interview, Public Broadcasting System, October
3, 2000, at www.pbs.org/wgbh/commandingheights/shared/minitextlo/
int_alharberger.html#1 (June 28, 2007).
[64]
U.S. Department of State, "Background Note: Argentina," July
2007, at www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/26516.htm (August 8, 2007).
[65]
World Bank, "Total GDP 2006," World Development
Indicators database, July 1, 2007, at http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DATASTATISTICS
/Resources/GDP.pdf (June 28, 2007).
[66]
Juan Forero and Peter S. Goodman, "Chávez
Builds His Sphere of Influence," The Washington Post,
February 23, 2007, p. D1, at www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007
/02/22/AR2007022201875_pf.html (June 7, 2007).
[67]
Gott, Hugo Chávez and the Bolivarian Revolution
in Venezuela, pp. 50–55.
[68]
David Luhnow and Peter Millard, "How Chávez
Aims to Weaken U.S.," The Wall Street Journal, May 1,
2007, p. A2.
[69]
Romero, "Chávez
Rattles Takeover Saber at Steel Company and Banks."
[70]
International Petroleum Finance, "Orinoco Projects
Change Hands."
[71]
Luhnow and Millard, "How Chávez Aims to Weaken
U.S."
[72]
Mander, "Instrument
of Revolution."
[73]
Natalie Obiko Pearson, "Venezuela, Brazil at Odds
over Ethanol Ahead of South American Energy Summit," Associated
Press, April 15, 2007.
[74]
Steven Dudley, "Chávez in Search of Leverage," The
Miami Herald, April 28, 2007, p. A9.
[75] Ibid.
[76]
Associated Press, "Venezuela to Sell Off US Refineries," Taipei
Times, May 1, 2007, p. 10, at www.taipeitimes.com/News/worldbiz/archives/
2007/05/01/2003359053 (August 15, 2007).
[77]
U.S. Department of State, Bureau of International Narcotics
and
Law Enforcement Affairs, "International Narcotics
Control Strategy Report, 2007," March 2007, www.state.gov/p/inl/rls/nrcrpt/2007/
vol1/html/80855.htm (June 20, 2007).
[78] Ibid.
[79]
Phil Gunson and Steven Dudley, "Terror Suspect Arrest
Fuels Tension with Caracas," The Miami Herald, June 6,
2007, p. A1.
[80]
Marc Champion, "U.S. Raises Heat on Venezuela over
Drug Trafficking," The Wall Street Journal, May 9, 2007,
p. A1.
[81] "Haiti: Preval Takes Advantage of Caracas–Washington
Squabble," Caribbean & Central America Report, May
17, 2007.
[82]
Associated Press, "Venezuela Considers Buying Russian
Subs," South Florida Sun-Sentinel, June 15, 2007, p. A21.
[83]
Agence France-Presse, "Chávez to Head to
Russia, Belarus, Iran, in Latest Bid to Heckle US," June
25, 2007.
[84]
James Dunnigan, "The Dutch Defend Their World Empire," StrategyPage.com,
February 25, 2007, at www.strategypage.com/dls/articles/20073805022.asp
(June 27, 2007).
[85]
Associated Press, "Chávez Tells Venezuelan
Soldiers to Prepare for War with U.S.," June 25, 2007,
at www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,286521,00.html (June 25, 2007).
[86]
Jorge Rueda, "Hugo Chávez Calls for Leftist
Nations' Defense Pact," The Miami Herald, June 7, 2007.
[87]
Gunson and Dudley, "Terror Suspect Arrest Fuels
Tension with Caracas."
[88]
Frum, "Democracy's
One-Man Wrecking Crew."
[89]
Lynch, Simón Bolívar, p. 278.
[90]
Martin Arostegui, "Chávez Presses Allies
to Back Iran; Tehran Offers Trade Concessions," The Washington
Times, May 10, 2007, p. A9.
[91]
Gunson and Dudley, "Terror Suspect Arrest Fuels
Tension with Caracas."
[92]
Arostegui,"Chávez
Presses Allies to Back Iran."
[93]
Moises Naim, "A Venezuelan Paradox," Foreign
Policy, No. 135 (March/April 2003), at www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=9
(June 7, 2007).
[94]
Helle C. Dale, "Nuance in Chávez's Rhetoric
Tells of Future Plans for Region," Heritage Foundation
WebMemo No. 1360, February 15, 2007, at www.heritage.org/Research/LatinAmerica/wm1360.cfm.
James
M. Roberts is Research Fellow for Economic Freedom and Growth
in the Center for International Trade and Economics at The
Heritage Foundation.
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