President Obama must be the luckiest man alive. According to GEN Petraeus, this week’s intelligence reporting indicates that Osama bin Ladin has directed al-Qaeda forces to be withdrawn from Afghanistan! With this decision boosted US fortunes and providing President Obama with a plausible rationale for postponing Afghanistan deployment.
Meawhile, Osama has set a trap for Iran because Iranian President Ahmadinejad now faces his own highly controversial decision on Iranian troop deployments toAfghanistan. Following al-Qaeda’s departure from Afghanistan the Taliban must turn to Iran military support, especially for intelligence analysis that supports Taliban’s foreign terrorist operations.
Of course, Ahmadinejad’s decision to provide intelligence support to advance Taliban’s foreign terrorist operations would bring huge liabilities for Iran. Iran would immediately face confrontation with the US, Russia, China, and most of the civilized world, which abhors Taliban terrorism. The timing of this Iranian confrontation with the world over the Taliban would weaken prospects for the survival of Iran’s nuclear program.
In short, President Obama is correct to take advantage of Osama's withdrawal of al=Qaeda to postpone sending more troops to Afghanistan.
Moreover. Obama can justify postponing Afghanistan deployments for several additional reasons.
First, Obama can use this respite from Afghanistan to prepare to confront Iran in Iraq, mainly by joining US forces with the Iraqi Arahs including al=Qaeda against the Iranians and Kurds in Iraq, Above all, Obama worries tbat the Kurds wuill soon annex Kirkuk and its vast oil reserves that belong to the Iraqi people as a whole, especially to the Iraqi Arabs, and force the US to commit large numbers of additional US troops to Iraq as civil war breaks out..
In fact, the good news is that the US is already partners with al-Qaeda in Iraq in order to protect Kirkuk from Kurdish and Iranian aggression. The Arab city of Mosul dominates Kirkuk in northern Iraq, With US permission, al- Qaeda militants -- armed, trained and paid by Saudi Arabia -- provide most of the volunteers for Mosul’s Arab Sunni police force. Al-Qaeda’s contributions to Mosul policing represent a bold and hugely successful initiative by Osama bin Ladin.
Second, Obama can use this respite from Afghanistan to refine plans to co-opt al-Qaeda as a US ally in Latin America, against Iran. Iran is preparing to unleash terrorism that will drive the Jews, the Arabs and all US forces from Latin America. Indeed, while Secretary Gates and his pro-Iran policy staff were sleeping at their desks, Iranian terrorists – working with the fascist Hugo Chavez -- managed to bring most of South America under the control of Iran and Venezuela.
Third, Obama icould use this respite from Afghanistan to deter President Ahmadinejad's collaboration with Germany, including his assertions that the Holocaust was a “myth,” and his assertions that Germany is not responsible for starting WW II.
Fourth, Obama can use this respite from Afghanistan to assert US leadership over the world’s communist states (Russia, China, Serbia, Syria, and North Korea), Obama can assert US leadership of the world's left wing states based on the anti-German and anti-fascist leadership of the four great US communist presidents -- Abraham Lincoln, Franklin Roosevelt, Richard Nixon, and Ronald Reagan (details of the contributions of these four progressive giants will be provided in a separate op-ed).
In short, Obama should not lose heart. The greater today’s difficulties, the greater will be Obama’s triumphs tomorrow.