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Scott Sullivan:
China rescues Afghanistan



President Obama and GEN McChrystal should welcome  Taliban’s invitation to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) to address Afghanistan’s problems.

First, this invitation to SCO is a welcome sign that the Taliban is eager to involve the outside world in resolving Afghanistan’s problems.  In contrast, when the Taliban last came to power  it was  clueless in foreign affairs and how to work with foreign donors of economic aid.   As a result, Afghanisan slipped into economic isolation and poverty, while the Taliban fell from power.  With this SCO invitation, Taliban is signaling it will not make the same mistake twice. 

Second, SCO is in a good position to build a strong international coalition to assist Afghanistan, despite resistance from Iran and Pakistan.  China, backstopped by Russia, will have excellent access to India and the Central Asian states.  China will also have access to Pakistan and might even be able to pull Pakistan out of Iran’s orbit and into an SCO-sponsored Afghanistan peace plan. 

 Moreover, China and Russia know how to deter future Iranian trouble making in Afghanistan.  China and Russia are already deterring Iran in Central Asia by denying Iran full SCO membership despite intense pressure for access from Iran’s president Mahoud Ahmadinejad. 

 Finally, as a major combatant state in WW II, a member of the UN Security Council, as well a highly respected state that has moved from Third World status to a global economic superpower, China can easily  confront Ahmadinejad’s ill-informed statements denying the Holocaust, questioning the legitimacy of the treaties ending WW II, and attacking the UN as an  “outmoded” institution. 

Third, China’s economy and its military status would

benefit greatly from China’s expansion of the SCO.  A stronger  China is good for US security  by challenging Iranian  influence in Central Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America. 

China is already the leading power in global economic affairs.  Moreover, China could soon displace the US as the world’s leading moral force as it confronts aggression by Iran, Germany and other pro-Nazi forces. All that China needs to is to strengthen the SCO at NATO’s expense, while confronting Iran and Germany as appropriate. In this regard, foreign policy analysts should focus on the military role of China and Russia in deterring Iran in Latin America, where Iranian influence is growing  and Iranian-backed terrorist groups are becoming more powerful.

 

 

Scott Sullivan is a former Washington government employee and was the Senior Advisor for International Economics at the Crisis Management Center of the National Security Council, 1984 - 1986. Petroleumworld not necessarily share these views. hare these views.

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Petroleumworld News 10/27/09

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