Editorial / Commentary / Opinion
Scott Sullivan :Next Steps on Afghanistan
First, the US shall attempt to engage al-Qaeda as a partner to assure the stability of Mosul in northern Iraq. Moreover, the US military shall gain favor on the part of Iraq’s and Afghan terrorists by comparing Iraq’s struggle to protect today’s Iraqi union against subversion of Kurdish and Iranian political secessionists. In this context, US cooperation with al-Qaeda will begin in Afghanistan only after US-al Qaeda cooperation is established in Iraq.
Second, the US must develop a new peacekeeping strategy for Afghanistan.Vano Brown’s recent op-ed on Afghanistan provides a new concept. Vano Brown asserts, correctly, that Taliban’s leader Mullah Omar is a new Stalin, a nationalist, while Osama bin-Ladin is new Trotsky, an internationalist. As a result, Vano Browm predicts serious Taliban-al Qaeda conflicts that would weaken the forces of international terrorism.
Good. Brown’s assessment suggests a new US strategy of boosting Mullah Omar and his nationalist policies to unite all of Afghanistan’s Taliban under one flag, just as the Khmer Rouge united all the Cambodians against Vietnam. Once Mullah Omar has united all Afghan Taliban, he will co-opt Afghanistan’s al Qaeda, and finally will co-opt Pakistan’s own Taliban and Al-Qaeda.
Third, the US and China will take the lead role on Afghanistan, to the distress of Pakistan and Iran, just US took the lead role in boosting the Khmer Rouge during Cambodia’s 1970’s crisis. China will be compelled to support US policy because President Obama will make it clear that without strong support from China the US will unilaterally withdraw from Afghanistan.
Fourth, China and the US will make clear their intentions to boost Afghanistan, Taliban and al-Qaeda into significant powers in the region, if necessary at the expense of Iran and Pakistan. For example, China shall immediately offer Afghanistan full membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, ahead of Iran and Pakistan, and with Chinese assurances that Iran and Pakistan will have to forego their nuclear weapons programs if they hope to continue to attend SCO meetings as even as mere observers.
Fifth, the US shall enhance its pro-Afghanistan initiative by co-opting India, Russia aand Iraq as partners.
Scott Sullivan is a former Washington government employee and was the Senior Advisor for International Economics at the Crisis Management Center of the National Security Council, 1984 - 1986. Petroleumworld not necessarily share these views. hare these views.
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Petroleumworld News 11/13/09
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