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Editorial / Commentary / Opinion
Gustavo Coronel : The Venezuelan
state of the nation in February 2011
Summary of a Poll by Consultores 21.
Few people outside Venezuela have access to hard statistical and poll data on the current Venezuelan situation. I summarize the results of a poll taken in December 2010 in Venezuela by a Venezuelan company that has been doing work of this type for 36 years: Consultores 21. This poll was taken among 1500 Venezuelans in 37 cities of more than 20,000 people. The margin of error is less than 3 percent.
Consultores 21 is, in my opinion, a very reliable organization. The results are very straightforward and allow us to obtain a helicopter view of the Venezuelan political and social situation at this point in time.
SUMMARY OF RESULTS.
- The prevailing national climate is one of pessimism
- 63 percent of Venezuelans say the country is on the wrong track.
- 51 percent of Venezuelans feel the situation of the country will deteriorate further during the next six months.
- 52 percent of Venezuelans say their personal and family situation is bad
- 50 percent of Venezuelans feel their personal and family situation will
improve during the next six months.
- 62 percent of Venezuelans say that the situation of the country is worse today than one year ago.
- 69 percent of Venezuelans say that the country is either stagnant or in decline at this time.
- The four main problems affecting the nation are perceived to be: Crime, unemployment, the overall economy and lack of housing.
- 50 percent of Venezuelans say they are not employed or employed without remuneration. 13 percent say they are employed in the private sector, 10 percent in the public sector and 28 percent self-employed.
- 45 percent of Venezuelans say they are formally employed, 55 percent say they are on their own.
- 57 percent of Venezuelans think the current government is poor. 65 percent of Venezuelans feel that the opposition governors are doing a good job; whereas 36 percent of Venezuelans feel the Chavez following governors are doing a good job.
- 58 percent of Venezuelans feel President Chavez is responsible for the state of the nation. In 2001 31 percent of Venezuelans blamed Chavez for the problems in the country.
- 61 percent of Venezuelans believe Chavez is not capable of solving the nation's problems.
- The popularity of President Chavez is at 38 percent versus 80 percent at the start of his presidency, in 1999.
- 57 percent of the working class dislikes President Chavez. 77 percent of the upper-middle class dislikes President Chavez.
- 61 percent of Venezuelans think President Chavez is an enemy of freedom of expression.
- 63 percent think President Chavez is an enemy of private property.
- Depending on the issues being discussed between 63 and 76 percent of Venezuelans do not believe Chavez's messages.
- 70 percent of Venezuelans feel the country needs new leaders, 30 percent feel Chavez is the leader the country needs.
- For the presidential elections of December 2012 there are five opposition presidential pre-candidates (Enrique Capriles, Leopoldo Lopez, Henrique Salas Feo, Julio Borges and Pablo Perez} who enjoy more acceptance than Hugo Chavez, They range from 40 to 53 percent acceptance, versus 38 percent who prefer Hugo Chavez.
- 38 percent of Venezuelans trust Chavez. 63 percent of Venezuelans trust the opposition.
- 68 percent of Venezuelans say that there are political prisoners today.
- 64 percent of Venezuelans oppose the government take over of private property.
- 58 percent of Venezuelans think President Chavez lies when he says that private companies are expropriated because they violate the law.
- Between 61 and 69 percent of Venezuelans feel expropriation of private companies (electricity, telephone, banks, super markets) were not justified
Gustavo Coronel is a 28 years oil industry veteran, a member of the first board of directors (1975-1979) of Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), author of several books. At the present Coronel is Petroleumworld associate editor and advisor on the opinion and editorial content of the site. All his articles can be read in Gustavo's blog. Las Armas de Coronel . Petroleumworld does not necessarily share these views.
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Petroleumworld News 02/14/2011
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