Scott Sullivan :
China and Colombia vs. Chavez
China has created a sensation by announcing it intends to construct a “Second Panama Canal” across the territory of northern Colombia. Hooray, China!! China's new policy will align China with Colombia and the right wing forces in Latin America against Venezuela's fascist president Hugo Chavez. What is China's plan? China's plan is to create a Latin American version of the Khmer Rouge, beginning in Haiti, to deter Hugo Chavez (see “Does Haiti need the Khmer Rouge?” Petroleumworld.com)
Why are China and Russia developing this anti-Chavez plan?
First, someone needs to rescue Latin America from Hugo Chavez and his drug cartel/FARC, and his Iranian terrorist allies. The US cannot or will not rescue Latin America, so China and Russia must take action.
Second, China and Russia are confident they will earn wide international support for deterring Hugo Chavez. China and Russia are also confident they will earn wide international support for boosting Latin American capitalism.
Third, China will make substantial gains from investments in Brazil's energy sector. Brazil's energy reserves, contrary to previous data, are now estimated to be larger than Venezuela's energy reserves. China would do better with Brazil and Colombia as energy partners than with Hugo Chavez.
Fourth, a Chinese victory over Hugo Chavez would be easier to attain than a victory over the world's number one bad guy, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. So, China and Russia will do Chavez first, where victory could weaken Ahmadinejad's support and even drag him down to defeat without the need for further Chinese and Russian political involvement.
Fifth, China and Russia are confident of support from Brazil, whose leaders are worried by FARC's hostile military operations on Brazilian territory, and by Hugo Chavez's ongoing efforts to sabotage US plans for stability in Haiti, the Caribbean, and Central America. Brazil has a powerful incentive to cooperate with China and Russia because in the event of success against Chavez, Brazil would rise to superpower status in Latin America.
Sixth. China and Russia also seek support for their anti-Chavez plan from Chile, Peru and Argentina. China is a long time partner with Peru in anti=terrorism operations, with notable success in inflicting a military defeat on the Maoist Shining Path terrorist group. China also cooperated with Russia in Bolivia's 1968 military operations that deterred Che Guevara.
Scott Sullivan is a former Washington government employee and was the Senior Advisor for International Economics at the Crisis Management Center of the National Security Council, 1984 - 1986. Petroleumworld not necessarily share these views.
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Petroleumworld News 02/16/2011
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