Scott Sullivan :
How to save Libya
President Obama has been living in a Fool's Paradise. Until now, Obama thought
the only big problem in his presidency was to turn the economy around. Wrong!
Last week, he became aware that Egypt, Libya, Syria and Iraq were far
from a condition of stability. In Egypt, Iranian-backed terrorists took advantage of Egyptian military unpreparedness to mount attacks from Egyptian territory against Israeli settlements alongside the Sinai and the Gaza strip. Meanwhile, despite impressive US security gains in Libya, Syria and Iraq, Obama was unable to articulate a convincing US exit strategy for these three military commitments, never mind Afghanistan.
Well, today I have good news for President Obama. I will rely on Colonel Gadaffi to provide a “win-win” Obama-Gadaffi US exit strategy for Libya that Obama can also apply in Syria and Iraq.
How will Gadaffi's exit strategy work? As described in depth in today's
New York Times, he has brought a simple yet comprehensive solution to the most difficult issue in any US strategy - i.e, which forces will assert authority
as US forces withdraw? Qdadffi has Agreed to share power with the US in a
45-member Transitional National Council (TNC), composed of Gaddafi-appointed mayors of Libya's largest cities, along with other local elected officials, The TNC's first order of business is to restart Libyan oil production by adding as many as 100 technical experts and energy officials from Gaddafi's government.
Meanwhile, as political stability returns to Libya, the TNC no doubt intends
to extend its control over the Libyan militias by merging them with the Libyan
military. As for the fate of Col. Gadaffi and his family, that issue should be decided by the Libyan people themselves.
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Scott Sullivan is a former Washington government employee and was the Senior Advisor for International Economics at the Crisis Management Center of the National Security Council, 1984 - 1986. Petroleumworld not necessarily share these views.
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Petroleumworld News 08/29/2011
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