ISSUES....
Inside,
confidential, off the record
Last word on US elections
Here
the final word from Dennis Garthman on the US mid term elections.
Tomorrow is the election, and although the pundits everywhere
are calling for an absolute certain "take-over" of the
House by the Democrats and a near take-over of the Senate, we
think they are right only in the latter. We are certain that the
Republicans will lost seats in both houses of Congress, and we
shall grant that as a given; however, we continue to believe that
the strong tendency toward incumbency is so strong and the voters'
collective "like" for their own House member while they
intensely "dis-like" the national Republicans will serve
the Republicans well when voting push comes to shove.
The Senate seat in Tennessee now seems almost certainly to go
to Mr. Corker, as Mr. Ford's rush in the polls has failed miserably.
Two weeks ago Mr. Ford (the Democrat) had a 1% lead over Mr. Corker
(the Republican) and that has faltered now to the point where
he is 10-12 "points" behind. That does not bode well
for the Democrats nationally. Too, Sen. Allen here in the Commonwealth
of Virginia has pulled back to even with Mr. Webb, after having
been 5-7 "points" behind two weeks ago. Finally, in
Missouri, Sen. Tallent is now back to even or 1% behind Ms. McCaskill,
having been 3-5 "points" behind two weeks ago. The election
will be interesting. We shall watch with great interest; so too
shall the world.
For
more on interesting comments, you can subscribe to The Gartman
Letter by contacting Dennis Garthman: Phone 757 238 9346, Fax
757 238 9346 or dennis@thegartmanletter.com
ISSUES....
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