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On naval power

 

----- Original Message -----
From: "physics engineering" <physics@tasmail.com>
To: <editor@petroleumworld.com>
Cc: <physics@tasmail.com>
Sent: Wednesday, May 02, 2007 2:54 AM
Subject: naval power article


Dear Sir/Madam,

I read with interest the recent article by George Freidman on U.S naval power and its limits .

I thank you for airing this article as it demonstrated much of the U.S rationale (as they see it) for force it exerts globally as well as the short sighted hubris they fail to see in the real vulnerability to their naval capabilities.

Sceptics argue that contrary to U.S claims of peaceful international enforcement by use of its naval power, it is in reality an obtrusive implicit threat designed to protect U.S interests globally and maintain its primacy which by virtue of isolation, luck and cravenness in World War II, it happened to emerge unscathed compared to other nations and took advantage of that convienient alteration in the world.

Friedman fails to explore specific weaknesses in U.S naval forces which nonetheless exist and have been quietly analysed including this writer.

Rather than portraying U.S naval forces are very powerful, a more accurate and dispassionate description sees these forces as hollow threats and indeed highly vulnerable targets which will inevitably fail if pitted against methodologies designed to bypass and exploit their weaknesses.

Passive opposition can come from allies and opponents opposing access to national ports, visits etc and taking popular protests to the streets, government representations and anti U.S actions if U.S ships do visit a port.

Governments too can passively deny and stonewall U.S plans from bans out of protest to stymie U.S intent by being a part of a coalition but deliberately getting inside to disrupt the whole scheme (the Trojan horse effect).

Overt counters can come from new Air Independent Propulsion submarines which can defeat U.S detection and with this invulnerability gain 'anti access' to whole ocean regions where these submarines can operate with impunity and 'bottle up' U.S naval forces, for fear of losing a few aircraft carriers.

European AIP technology already grants a few navies this ability and already imposes limits on where U.S ships can go now and in future if these submarines proliferate.

In effect they are "stealth bombers" for the under seas, acting with impunity and the U.S has no counter.

Finally a new option devised by this writer and designed to negate U.S naval power or any other aggressor concerns the so called 'sharkpack' system.

A modular saturation missile strike/surveillance system.
Using low cost modern or commercial platforms with modern electronics, an aft door and wired external pylons and sensors, palletised modules can be rolled in /out in hours to reconfigure aircraft, fast multi hull ships, helicopters or trucks into distributed cruise missile launchers.

Even small nations can convert to this system and low cost and have the ability to detect approaching U.S naval forces (configured in patrol mode) and then convert the same platforms into saturation attack anti ship platforms (which friedman touches on but fails to address new low cost platformry).

Modern cargo planes can carry up to 20 + missiles internally, with self defence long range air to air missiles they become flying battle stations (plus with local figher escort) akin to U.S practice where bombers are escorted by fighters etc).

Only a small number of platforms in a conflict would be needed to
dispatch a few carrier battle groups with 50 platforms capable of
firing salvo's of over 1000 anti ship missiles of varying types to overwhelm U.S naval forces.

Multi vector, multi type missiles launched outside U.S fighters and other defences shift the advantage back to the defender and grant anti access capability to any nation with this modular system.

Distributed, low cost, simple and with autonomous operation doctrine would only need a few platforms to pose such a threat to U.S naval targets that the U.s would dare not venture for fear of losing entire battle groups.


Those of us who have been doing these studies have now seen through the bluster of U.s hubris and now see the U.S naval and indeed military capability for what it truely is, slow hulking targets easily dispatched by low cost saturation attack launched from long range out of todays platforms.

If U.S world aggression is to be halted, its probably inevitable that nations will adopt the sharkpack methodology to even the odds and give even small nations the ability to sink entire careir battle groups if threatened .
Its egalitarian and the future now we can see the US for the hollowness and vulnerability it really is .


Oddly the Soviet attack system probably would have worked in a cold war turned hot, as the key is to not match ship for ship prowess, but to find the most efficient force to break the weakest link in the chain that is the steel hulk of the U.S navy.

In this case saturation attack, overwhelming the defence and now of low lost to enable nearly anyone to stop the U.S naval force with this new system.

Anti ship missiles are widely available, it just needs the right packaging.......

Thanks for airing Mr Friedmans illuminating but error filled paper.

All the best,

Phil


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