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Shortfall may prompt Italy to look elsewhere for gas supplies



AFP
ROME
Petroleumworld.com 01 25 06


The sudden shortfall in Italy's gas supplies has highlighted Rome's over-dependence on Moscow for its energy requirements amid calls to diversify gas sources and even to reconsider a return to nuclear power, mothballed in 1986.

For the eighth consecutive day Tuesday, Italy's oil and gas giant ENI warned deliveries of Russian gas would fall below the country's daily requirements.

Millions of Italians were meanwhile urged to turn down their thermostats as Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's cabinet met to impose a temperature cap on homes and offices.

ENI predicted Tuesday's shortfall at six million cubic metres, or 1.4 percent of national consumption. ENI imports more than 70 percent of its gas from Russia and Algeria alone, with the rest coming from Dutch and Norwegian supplies.

"We are in a situation of penury, by which I mean that the supply is quite simply inferior to the demand," said Davide Tabarelli, director for Italy's Industrial and Energy Research centre (RIE).

"If the government adopts the measures it says it will, we can hope to save around 30 million cubic metres of gas a day, but if there continues to be a squeeze in the supply from Russia, we'll be really up the creek by March," Tabarelli told AFP.

Tabarelli's private research group believes Italy has already made considerable inroads into its estimated 12 billion cubic metre gas reserves, and could yet face more drastic measures before the winter is out.

The crisis -- a combination of a political standoff between Russia and Ukraine and a lethal cold snap that caused a spike in demands for Russia's gas -- is forcing a rethink about nuclear power.

"We need to re-launch nuclear energy," Industry Minister Claudio Scajola said last week.

Italians voted to reject nuclear power as an energy source in a referendum in 1987, shortly after the Chernobyl disaster in Ukraine.

An Italian rethink would tie-in with French calls in Brussels Tuesday for a radical shake-up of Europe's energy policies, which stressed the need for nuclear power amid growing concern at the bloc's dependence on oil and gas.

However, a more immediate step for Italy would be the construction of a number of re-gasification terminals, which many see as vital if the country is to diversify its gas sources.

"All this can give a push to building re-gasification plants for imports of liquid natural gas," said Lucio Cannamella, chief analyst with Abaxbank in Milan.

"With these terminals we can buy gas from a wider range of suppliers, including from a long way off," he said.

Italy relies for its gas imports on just one 3.5 bln cubic metre/year capacity re-gasification terminal, owned by ENI, and ENI-controlled pipelines from Russia and north Africa.

Electricity company ENEL "has said several times that it has been blocked in building re-gasification terminals," according to Cannamella.

UBS's chief analyst in Milan, Marco Cipelletti, agreed that in the long-term the current gas emergency will bring "less resistance" for building Liquid Natural Gas regasification terminals.

Re-gasification is the process by which LNG is heated, converting it into its gaseous state.

The only re-gasification plant being built is an Edison project at Rovigo, near Venice, while eight other projects were said by Italy's energy regulator last year to be in the planning stage.

AFP 01/24/06

Copyright © 2006 AFP. All rights reserved

 

 


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