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Oil prices steady as caution prevails


AFP
NEW YORK
Petroleumworld.com 02 10 06

World oil prices held in a narrow range Thursday after sharp losses earlier this week as caution about Iran prevented further declines.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in March, edged up seven cents to close at 62.62 dollars per barrel.

In London, the price of Brent North Sea crude for March delivery fell 31 cents to close at 60.75 dollars a barrel.

Prices fell Wednesday to their lowest levels since early January as the market reacted to strong US supply data and discounted fears about a cutoff from Iran due to the stalemate over its nuclear energy program.

But Mike Fitzpatrick, analyst at Fimat USA, said the so-called risk premium linked to Iran and other geopolitical concerns is not likely to go away soon.

"There has only been a month's reprieve granted in addressing Iran's nuclear ambitions," he said.

"There is still a good deal of 'risk premium' in the energy price structure. Developments this week have extracted only a small portion of that measure. There is still danger ahead."

In Singapore, Purvin and Gertz analyst Victor Shum said that possible oil supply disruptions in major producer Iran remained a factor.

"The fact that we have the longer-term threat of supply disruption due to the Iran issue... will add a risk premium to crude prices," he said.

Iran's nuclear energy program has triggered strong condemnations from the international community and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) voted last Saturday to refer Tehran to the UN Security Council over the issue.

Tehran has responded by resuming uranium enrichment and stopped spot checks of its nuclear sites by the United Nations. There are also fears of further retaliatory moves that could disrupt crude supplies from the oil rich country.

Crude oil prices closed lower Wednesday after tumbling about three percent on Tuesday.

A weekly snapshot of US crude inventories from the US Department of Energy (DoE) had shown on Wednesday that gasoline or petrol inventories jumped 4.3 million barrels to 223.3 million in the week to February 3.

That was more than double analysts' consensus forecast of an increase of 1.9 million barrels. As a result, gasoline stocks in the United States were 1.7 percent higher than their level at the same stage last year.

The DoE also reported a drop in crude oil inventories of 300,000 barrels to a level of 320.7 million barrels. But the department noted that crude reserves were 10.7 percent higher than their level at the same time last year.

Reserves of distillates, used for heating and diesel fuel, dipped 300,000 barrels to 136 million, according to the DoE, compared with a market forecast of a rise of 150,000 barrels.

Nonetheless, distillate supplies were 12.4 percent above last year's levels.
Oil prices gained almost nine percent in January on strong fund buying and rising geopolitical tensions, mainly in Iran and Nigeria, who together account for approximately eight percent of global crude oil production.

Crude futures hit 69.20 dollars in New York on January 23 but have since declined, also owing to mild weather during the northern hemisphere winter.

New York prices had hit a historic high point of 70.85 dollars in August 2005 after Hurricane Katrina devastated energy infrastructure in the US Gulf of Mexico.

AFP 02/10/06

Copyright © 2006 AFP. All rights reserved

 

 


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