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IEA official says unrest overshadows Iraqi oil production



AFP
PRAGUE
Petroleumworld.com 02 23 06

An International Energy Agency (IEA) official said at a conference in Prague on Wednesday that the IEA does not believe Iraq can boost oil production to predicted levels owing to unrest in the country.

"We do not think that it is possible in the absence of security and order for major oil companies to come to invest in Iraq," the chief economist of the Paris-based organisation, Fatih Birol, said in a speech on the opening day of the conference "Energy Security - The NATO Forum on Energy Security Technology".

Birol also said that "we will face tighter energy markets and higher prices for years to come", adding that the world faced a "troubled energy picture".

Iraqi oil production, currently standing at about 1.6-1.7 million barrels a day, could rise to 3.0 million barrels a day by 2010, but this would still fall short of a forecast by Iraq of 6.0 million barrels a day, he said.

Birol added that the agency also had doubts about whether foreign investment would be forthcoming to allow neighbouring Iran to double its current production of about 4.0 million barrels a day by 2030, owing to tension surrounding its plans to development nuclear power.

Saudi Arabia had enough reserves and production capacity to meet increased world demand by boosting current production of about 11.0 million barrels a day to 18.0 million barrels a day by 2030 but it might choose not do so, Birol said.

AFP 02 22 06

Copyright © 2006 AFP. All rights reserved


 

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