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World
Bank finds explosive rise in carbon trading
By Jitendra Joshi
AFP
WASHINGTON
Petroleumworld.com
05 11 06
The global market for carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions -- an innovative
offshoot of the Kyoto pact on global warming -- has shown explosive
growth, the World Bank said Wednesday.
But in a new report, the World Bank also noted that recent events in
the European Union's Emissions Trading System (ETS) had underscored
how deeply volatile the market remains.
The study said the worldwide market in CO2 trading was worth more than
10 billion dollars in 2005, 10 times the value of 2004.
"To put that figure in perspective, the entire US wheat crop in
2005 was valued at about 7.1 billion dollars," said Karan Capoor,
senior financial specialist at the World Bank and the report's main
author.
"The data makes it clear that carbon is now a financial commodity.
Carbon is now priced and business managers take the carbon price into
consideration along with other factors in making business decisions,"
he said.
Capoor added: "But like other financial commodities, the events
of the last two weeks in the EU ETS shows that markets can be volatile."
The market is the brainchild of the Kyoto Protocol for controlling greenhouse-gas
emissions -- the carbon gases emitted mainly by burning oil, gas and
coal that are driving perilous climate change.
Its backbone is the 25-nation EU's ETS marketplace.
Under this, 11,500 firms that are big users of fossil fuels have to
meet a target of CO2 emissions or else pay a penalty of 40 euros (50
dollars) a tonne for 2006 and 2007, a punishment that, from 2008, will
rise to 100 euros a tonne.
Those that are below their quota can sell their surplus on the ETS to
companies that are over, thus providing a financial carrot to everyone
to clean up.
But when it was discovered in late April that several EU countries were
polluting far less than they had thought, prices plunged by more than
half to a 12-month low, from a high of 30 euros for a tonne of CO2.
Analysts warn that a white-knuckle price ride could undermine confidence
in what Kyoto's supporters claim is the smartest and most flexible way
to tackle carbon pollution.
Nonetheless, the World Bank report said the fledgling market was already
achieving its aim of lending a financial incentive to countries to change
their ways.
The EU system accounted for 75 percent of the total market in 2005,
but almost half of the total volume of gas emission reductions came
from the developing world, it said.
"This report shows that this young market works well, that it responds
to market signals and that it is changing the way business is done in
Europe and around the world," said Andrei Marcu, president of the
International Emissions Trading Association, which co-sponsored the
World Bank report.
The report said the power of the market is being seen even in the United
States and Australia, which have both refused to support the Kyoto agreement.
In the United States, the Chicago Climate Exchange saw some 1.25 million
tonnes of CO2 equivalent traded in the first three months of 2006, compared
with 1.45 million over the whole of 2005.
Informal trading schemes have sprung up in New South Wales, where in
April last year about 3.2 million tonnes of CO2 were offset from 30,000
hectares of eucalyptus planting.
In total over the World Bank's period of study, 453.5 million tonnes
of CO2 were bought in the marketplace. The leading buyers were Japan
(38 percent), Britain (15 percent) and Italy (11 percent).
The United States, Australia, Canada and New Zealand each bought one
percent from the market.
On the seller's side, China placed 66 percent of the total for trading,
ahead of Brazil with 10 percent and the rest of Latin America with seven
percent. India sold three percent of emissions.
AFP 10 1904 GMT 05 06
Copyright © 1994-2006 Agence France-Presse. All Rights Reserved.
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