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Oil
prices slide to near six-month lows
AFP
NEW
YORK
Petroleumworld.com
09 12 06
World oil prices fell to their lowest points since late March on Monday
amid easing concerns over Iran's nuclear program and after the OPEC
oil-producing cartel pledged to keep output steady.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in October,
dropped 64 cents to close at 65.61 dollars a barrel.
It earlier hit 64.85 dollars -- the lowest point since March 28 and
more than 17 percent below its historic high of 78.40 dollars reached
on July 13.
In London, Brent North Sea crude for October delivery settled down 78
cents at 64.55 after striking an intra-day low of 63.97 -- the lowest
point since March 28. Brent had struck an all-time high 78.64 dollars
only on August 7.
"The perception of downgraded geopolitical and weather risks elicits
few reasons to step in and buy, so prices continue to retreat,"
said Mike Fitzpatrick at Fimat USA, citing dimished fears about a crisis
over Iran's nuclear program and also about a disruption to supplies
from hurricanes.
Analysts said selling appeared to be accelerating as prices fall through
key support levels. This can prompt speculators who had bet on higher
prices to pull out of the market.
Eugene Peroni at Claymore Securities said the fall below 67 dollars
was key because prices dropped below their 200-day moving average for
the first time since March.
"The decline from July's peak level near 78 dollars has been swift
and sharp," Peroni said.
"This has led to 'fast money' exiting most energy stocks in recent
weeks. It may be premature to proclaim oil in a confirmed long-term
downtrend ... That said, there is a substantial structure of resistance
in the low/mid 70s making passage beyond that point unlikely anytime
soon."
In Vienna, OPEC ministers decided after a meeting Monday to maintain
their policy of stabilizing the market with an output ceiling of 28
million barrels per day but said they were ready to respond to sharp
price changes.
Qatari Energy Minister Abdullah bin Hamad al-Attiyah said the production
quota implemented by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
would continue unchanged for now.
Fitzpatrick said the OPEC comments were "somewhat supportive"
for prices but unable to "temper the ongoing wave of selling interest.
Still, if prices continue to drop, there will be increasing speculation
about what price, if any, the organization is going to defend."
Traders remained heavily focused on Iran, the world's fourth biggest
producer of crude.
On Monday, a Western diplomat told AFP that top Iranian nuclear negotiator
Ali Larijani set a list of conditions, including no UN actions against
Tehran, in offering to consider a two-month suspension of uranium enrichment.
"He had a long list including (a) complete and total halt in activity
at the UN Security Council, an absolute stepping down from going for
sanctions and that Iran would have the right to nuclear fuel technology
on its soil," the diplomat said.
Iran faces the threat of UN economic sanctions for defying a UN Security
Council August 31 deadline for it to freeze its strategic nuclear fuel
work.
Analysts warn that Iran could retaliate against sanctions by disrupting
its oil exports. But in the absence of sanctions, crude futures are
tumbling.
Prices were easier also Monday in view of a mild US hurricane season
and a recent announcement by British energy giant BP that oil production
at its Alaskan Prudhoe Bay facility could be fully restored by the end
of October, dealers said.
An August pipeline leak forced BP to shut down much of its production
at the vast oil field, sparking a temporary oil price rally.
AFP
11 1949 GMT 09 06
Copyright
©2006 AFP.
All Rights Reserved.
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