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Penn, Schoen, and Berland poll shows venezuela's Chavez vulnerable
Petroleumworld
CARACAS
Petroleumworld.com 09 19 06
A newly released Penn, Schoen, and Berland nationwide poll among likely voters in Venezuela shows President Hugo Chavez in a vulnerable position as he heads into the December 3rd Presidential Election, according a press release from The Penn, Schoen, and Berland.
The poll measured the state of the current Presidential race between Chavez, Zulia Governor Manuel Rosales, and Comedian Benjamin Rausseo.
The poll finds Rosales trailing Chavez by just 13 points today.
"This is going to be a closer election than a lot of people realize," said Dr. Douglas E. Schoen, the author of the study.
Dr. Schoen's poll found the following results in the race for President:
Question Text: If the presidential elections were held today for whom would you vote?
Hugo Chavez with 50% of the vote
Manual Rosales with 37% of the vote
Benjamin Rausseo with 3% of the vote
9% of the electorate was Undecided.
The Penn, Schoen, and Berland survey also sought to uncover the job that the people of Venezuela believe Hugo Chavez is doing addressing the most critical issues facing the country. This data finds that the majority of voters are displeased with the job Chavez is doing on nearly every issue.
Dr. Schoen said, "On issue after issue, Chavez gets failing marks from the Venezuelan people. This leaves his opposition, namely Governor Rosales, with a big opportunity to make the case that it is time for a change, and rally the people behind his candidacy."
Question Text: How would you rate the job Hugo Chavez has done on the following issues? Excellent, Good, Fair or Poor?
"Security" - 73% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job.Excellent 11%
Good 15%
Fair 29%
Poor 44%
Don't Know 1%"Reducing the level of Crime" -69% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor
Excellent 14%
Good 17%
Fair 25%
Poor 44%
Don't Know 1%"Ending Corruption" - 64% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job
Excellent 16%
Good 19%
Fair 22%
Poor 42%
Don't Know 1%"Eradicating Poverty" - 62% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job
Excellent 14%
Good 24%
Fair 24%
Poor 38%
Don't Know 1%"Creating Jobs" - 62% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job
Excellent 14%
Good 23%
Fair 27%
Poor 35%
Don't Know 1%
"Unifying the country and incorporating all the sectors" - 57% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job
Excellent 17%
Good 25%
Fair 22%
Poor 35%
Don't Know 1%"Managing the country's oil reserves" - 54% say Chavez has done only a
Fair or Poor jobExcellent 20%
Good 26%
Fair 20%
Poor 34%
Don't Know 1%"Work for all Venezuelans" - 54% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor
jobExcellent 20%
Good 26%
Fair 21%
Poor 33%
Don't Know 1%"Work for all the regions of Venezuela" - 54% say Chavez has done only a
Fair or Poor jobExcellent 19%
Good 26%
Fair 23%
Poor 31%
Don't Know 1%"Housing" - 53% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job.
Excellent 19%
Good 26%
Fair 27%
Poor 26%
Don't Know 1%"Improving relations with other countries" - 52% say Chavez has done only
a Fair or Poor jobExcellent 21%
Good 27%
Fair 22%
Poor 30%
Don't Know 1%"Public Health" - 52 % say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job
Excellent 23%
Good 24%
Fair 27%
Poor 25%
Don't Know 1%"Education" - 43% say Chavez has done only a Fair or Poor job.
Excellent 29%
Good 27%
Fair 23%
Poor 20%
Don't Know 1%Background:
The Penn, Schoen, and Berland poll was a nationwide poll of 2,000 likely voters conducted in Spanish. The administration of the survey was designed to ensure that survey respondents felt anonymous. The dates that the interviewing took place were August 26, 2006 through September 1, 2006.
Penn, Schoen, and Berland partnered with a local market research and polling company named Datos Information Resources in Caracas
This was an independent poll done for a consortium of business leaders.
Dr. Douglas E. Schoen is one of the world's leading authorities on measuring public opinion. Over his 30 year career that has included work on 6 continents, Dr. Schoen has worked for Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton, Ehud Olmert, Tony Blair, Silvio Berlusconi, Leonel Fernandez, New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, and New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine.
Dr. Schoen is one of the founding Partners and current Chairman of Penn, Schoen, and Berland Associates, which is based in New York City and Washington, DC.
SOURCE Penn, Schoen, and Berland
Dr. Schoen is available for both comment and media appearances. He can be reached through Gary Baronofsky or Jennifer Roche at Dan Klores Communications, +1-212-685-4300, or Spanish speaking media, Marcela Berland, +1-914-763-0051.Petroleumworld 18 09 06
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