US
military planning possible Iraq pullout if 'surge' fails
AFP
GUATEMALA CITY
Petroleumworld.com
03 13 07
The White House confirmed Monday that Pentagon planners are preparing
a plan for a phased pullout of US troops from Iraq in case the current
"surge" strategy fails or is undercut by Congress.
White House spokesman Gordon Johndroe cited Secretary of Defense Robert
Gates saying it would be irresponsible for the United States to not
have considered a fallback plan if the current escalation in troop
levels fails to achieve the goal of quelling violence in the country.
"Gates addressed this last week, that it would be negligent not
to be thinking about various possible outcomes for the future,"
he said.
Gates and the US commander in Iraq, General David Petraeus, "have
addressed this repeatedly. We're focused on the current plan that
is just getting started. It will take several months before we are
able to assess results," he said.
Speaking from Guatemala, where President George W. Bush was on the
latest stop of his Latin America tour, Johndroe was addressing a report
in the Los Angeles Times that the US had developed an alternative
pullout strategy based in part on the US experience in El Salvador
in the 1980s.
During the 1981-1992 El Salvador civil war, the United States deployed
a small contingent of 55 Special Forces Green Berets to aid the Salvadoran
military in its fight against leftist rebels.
The report said that some historians believed that their presence
had helped the United States to gradually professionalize the Salvadoran
army and curb its abuses while avoiding a large-scale US military
involvement.
A drawdown of forces in Iraq, the LA Times said, would be in line
with comments made last month by Gates, who told Congress that if
the surge of 21,500 combat soldiers failed, the backup plan would
include moving troops "out of harm's way."
Such a plan would also be close to the recommendations of the Iraq
Study Group, of which Gates was a member before his appointment to
the Pentagon, the paper said.
"This part of the world has an allergy against foreign presence,"
the report quotes a senior Pentagon official as saying of Iraq.
"You have a window of opportunity that is relatively short. Your
ability to influence this with a large US force eventually gets to
the point that it is self-defeating."
But Johndroe minimized the significance of the report. "This
story appears to focus on one study, one area people are looking into,"
he said.
The new round of planning is taking place in an atmosphere of extraordinary
tension within the Pentagon, the LA Times said, citing unnamed military
officials and Pentagon consultants.
Some support the new commander in Iraq, General David Petraeus, who
advocates using more US forces. Others back General John Abizaid,
the retiring Central Command chief, who favored handing over security
responsibilities to Iraqis.
Meanwhile, the Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman, General Peter Pace,
has made several references to El Salvador in recent congressional
hearings and private Pentagon meetings, the newspaper said.
The senior Pentagon official said Pace's repeated references were
a signal that in the chairman's view, success in Iraq might not depend
on more combat troops, according to the report.
The "surge" announced in January by President George W.
Bush calls for sending 21,500 additional combat troops and several
thousand more support forces in order to pacify Baghdad and other
key parts of the country.
AFP
12 2020 GMT 03 07
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