Oil
prices slide despite Nigeria supply fears
AFP
NEW
YORK
Petroleumworld.com
04 25 07
World oil prices fell heavily on Tuesday, as
traders consolidated despite market nerves over lost production in Nigeria, the
world's sixth biggest exporter of crude.
New York's main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in June,
closed down 1.31 dollars at 64.58 dollars per barrel.
In London, the price of Brent North Sea crude for June delivery settled down
99 cents at 67.16 dollars per barrel.
Prices unwound "following a large selling order. It's all very sudden," said
a broker at Bache Financial in London. "There seems to be no reason for
this price move."
Prices had risen earlier on Tuesday owing to concerns about Nigerian supplies.
Ruling party candidate Umaru Yar'Adua won Nigeria's presidential election on
Monday but foreign observers questioned the credibility of a vote that, along
with state polls the week before, claimed at least 200 lives.
Opposition parties rejected the result, raising the political risk level in a
major oil producer and Africa's most populous nation.
Nigeria's current oil production is down an estimated 25 percent owing to violence
in the oil-rich Niger Delta.
"There's always going to be a risk associated with Delta production, although
Shell's talking about going back and potentially restarting production," Global
Insight analyst Simon Wardell said.
"I think that at any time you could start to see an upsurge in violence
and that could put plans to restart oil-on-hold, potentially even hit the oil
which is currently being produced.
"It lowers risk if you have people accepting the results and trying to work
together, but I'm not sure it's in the immediate future," Wardell added.
Yar'Adua faced growing discontent on Tuesday after being declared the winner
of a disputed poll that even the outgoing head of state admitted was far from
perfect.
"The situation in the oil market is still uncertain because of the election
in Nigeria and production in Nigeria has been missing," said Tetsu Emori,
chief commodities strategist at Mitsui Bussan Futures in Tokyo.
Emori said nobody really knows the true nature of outages in the Delta region
and the market fears that even more production could be disrupted.
"That's why the market is quite nervous at the moment," he said.
The market is also concerned about high US gasoline (petrol) demand and insufficient
production by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Emori
said.
London-based energy analysts, The Centre for Global Energy Studies (CGES), on
Monday said reduced OPEC production risks another damaging price spike this year.
Emori said OPEC must make up the production shortfall from Nigeria by increasing
output to avoid prices rising to around 70 dollars.
He said the weekly US Department of Energy inventory report to be released on
Wednesday is expected to confirm concerns over US gasoline demand.
"Gasoline demand in the US is at a much higher level than last year," Emori
said.
AFP 24 1957 GMT 04 07
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