Gas
industry struggling to meet growing demand: Officials
Platts
Chicago
Petroleumworld.com
05 11 07
Producers
are having an increasingly difficult time keeping up with
growing gas demand across North America, industry officials said
Thursday at a
conference in Chicago.
"We are
on a treadmill to get supply going and consumption is outpacing
that," William Hussey, senior vice president of origination
for ConocoPhillips
Gas & Power, told attendees at GasMart 2007.
Even though US drilling activity is at an all-time high, as more
than
30,000 wells are set for completion this year, overall output continues
to
fall because newer wells are less productive and experience rapid
decline
rates, Hussey explained.
As traditional fields are depleted, forms of gas that are more
costly to
produce--particularly gas from shale and tight sands--will assume
a larger
share of the production pie. "In 2000, 65% came from conventional
sources,"
Hussey said. "About 55% will be from unconventional in 2010
or so."
The Barnett Shale of North Texas already is producing more than
2 Bcf/d
and drillers are flocking to the play to tap its potential, Hussey
told the
conference, which is hosted by Intelligence Press. That trend comes
at a
substantial price, however--for example, the so-called Bend Shale
play in West
Texas will cost as much as $10/Mcf to develop, making it uneconomical
under
current market conditions, Hussey said.
North America can expect some relief in the form of liquefied natural
gas, as expansion of import capacity and storage facilities allows
the US and
Canada to accept more LNG, Hussey said, but he noted that LNG supply
growth
will be partially offset by a drop in gas shipped from Canada as
the country
diverts more of its domestically produced volumes to Alberta's oil
sands
development.
David Slater, managing director of marketing at Nexen Marketing
USA,
echoed many of Hussey's concerns, maintaining that "the supply
warning lights
are flashing."
--Cheryl Buchta, cheryl_buchta@platts.com
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Platts
10 05 07
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