Moody's
downgraded Venezuelan heavy oil projects
Petroleumworld
CARACAS
Petroleumworld.com
06 28 07
In a statement was released by the ratings
agency, Moody's
Investors Service said it has downgraded the ratings of Corpoguanipa,
S.A., Hamaca Holding LLC (together the Hamaca project),
Petrozuata Finance Inc., and Sincrudos de Oriente SINCOR, C.A. to
B2 from B1. In addition, the ratings have been placed under review
for further downgrade.
The
downgrades follow the announcement yesterday of the impending assumption
of majority ownership of the projects
by Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA, rated B1), the Venezuelan state-owned
oil company. The Hamaca, Petrozuata, and SINCOR projects are all
integrated extra heavy crude oil projects located in Venezuela's
Orinoco belt. Until now, all three projects have been majority-owned
by foreign oil companies.
Moody
said in the release, The
government had given yesterday as the deadline for the foreign
oil companies to agree to terms regarding compensation and the
revised
ownership structure. The terms of compensation offered to the foreign
oil companies for the portion of their interests in the projects
being acquired by PDVSA have not been resolved or made public, but
it is Moody's expectation that they will be well below market value.
TOTAL S.A. and Statoil ASA, part-owners in SINCOR, and Chevron, a
minority owner in Hamaca, have reportedly signed memoranda of understanding
with the government which would provide PDVSA with at least a 60%
stake in the respective projects. However, ConocoPhillips, part-owner
of Hamaca and majority-owner of Petrozuata, and ExxonMobil, part-owner
of Cerro Negro (rated B3 under review for possible downgrade following
a declaration of a prospective event of default by the Trustee),
have refused to sign any agreements with PDVSA, apparently preferring
instead to seek to bring the Venezuelan government to international
arbitration subject to oversight of the World Bank. The Venezuelan
government is expected to unilaterally expropriate their interests.
The
statement continues saying, the government has indicated in public
statements that the projects in their new form as empresas mixtas
will continue
to
be responsible
for, and will service, their respective debt obligations. The terms
of the debt and the offtake agreements provide strong lender protection
by requiring that all sales revenues be deposited pursuant to irrevocable
payment instructions in an independently-administered off-shore account,
from which debt service is paid prior to the release of any equity
distributions or dividends. Distributions may also be restricted
under certain circumstances and Moody's notes that substantial amounts
have accumulated is some of these accounts. However, we remain concerned
about scenarios that could evolve in the future as the projects operate
under majority PDVSA control including circumvention of debt terms
and structural protections. The government has other means of diverting
cashflows from lenders as well -- for instance, it recently assessed
ConocoPhillips with a bill for $465 million in unpaid taxes related
to its ownership interest in Petrozuata, for which there has been
no clear explanation. PDVSA's acquisition of the project notwithstanding,
the government may still seek to collect these taxes from the project.
These taxes could potentially be payable prior to debt service. This
is just the latest in a series of tax and royalty increases the government
has imposed on the projects.
The downgrade also reflects concerns that even if the projects continue
to service their debt in a timely manner, there is significantly
increased refinancing risk in Moody's opinion. Two of the projects
face significant bullet maturities which will require refinancing
as early as 2009. Under the current circumstances, it is uncertain
whether and under what terms the projects will be able to successfully
refinance their debt. Furthermore, while the shares of the foreign
participants in the projects are pledged to lenders as collateral,
those of PDVSA are not. As a result of the ownership transfer, lenders
will effectively be dispossessed of a significant portion of their
security. Barring a waiver from the lenders, the change-of-control
and equity transfers to PDVSA are likely to be deemed technical events
of default, which would give rise to acceleration rights.
The review will consider whether technical events of default are
declared, how quickly they can be cured and what the likely consequences
of a failure to cure are, as well as any clarifications on the intentions
of the government regarding repayment of the debt and circumstances
specific to each individual project.
The Hamaca, Petrozuata, and SINCOR projects produce, upgrade, and
export heavy oil in the Orinoco region in southeastern Venezuela.
The three projects are separately owned and operated, with current
shareholdings by their ultimate owners as follows: Hamaca (ConocoPhillips
39.9%, Chevron 30.1%, PDVSA 30%); Petrozuata (ConocoPhillips 50.1%,
PDVSA 49.9%); and SINCOR (Total 47%, Statoil 15%, PDVSA 38%).
Petroleumworld.com 28
06 07
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