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Bachelet forecast to win Chile's presidential vote

REUTERS/Ivan Alvarado(L)/Max Montecinos(R)

Socialist Michelle Bachelet (L) conservator businessman Sebastian Pinera


By Francoise Kadri
AFP
SANTIAGO
Petroleumworld.com 01 13 06


A Chilean polling firm forecast a comfortable win for socialist Michelle Bachelet in Sunday's presidential run-off vote as campaigning drew to a close here Thursday.

A nationwide survey of 1,200 people by the Mori institute found that 45 percent backed Bachelet, while 40 percent favored right-wing businessman Sebastian Pinera and 15 percent were undecided, the group said Thursday.

Based on the results of that poll, which had a three-percentage-point margin of error, the Mori group projected that Bachelet would win Sunday's run-off election by 53 to 47 percent, or six points.

"Fifty-three percent to 47 percent is truly a landslide for a woman in Latin America," said Marta Lagos, director of the Mori institute in Chile. "She, as a single mother, represents the hope of quashing inequality ... of power for the powerless."

Lagos's son, Cristobald Huneeus, who also works for the polling group, predicted that "many women who never voted for a leftist before will vote for Bachelet."

The January 2-9 poll was the last one conducted ahead of the vote, and the Mori institute's projection was released as the candidates made their final campaign pushes ahead of Thursday's mandatory midnight close of campaigning.

Bachelet was to remain in Santiago Thursday to address an anticipated crowd of 100,000 people, surrounded by luminaries from the political and art world, while Pinera headed to Valparaiso along with a group of Chilean artists, in a bid to demonstrate his concern for all regions of Chile.

Bachelet led Pinera 46 percent to 25.4 percent in the first round of voting but failed to secure the 50 percent majority required to win the presidency.

She had to cut her campaigning short in the first round, after a bus carrying supporters crashed, killing five people.

As an agnostic and a single mother who has had children with two different partners, Bachelet's background goes against the grain in conservative Chilean society.

But her family's history under Augusto Pinochet's dictatorship has connected her with many Chileans.

Her father, an air force general, was arrested when Pinochet took power in 1973, and he died six months later, after being tortured in detention. She was arrested two years later, along with her mother, and was also tortured in prison.

As the country's first female defense minister under current President Ricardo Lagos -- a post she renounced to run for president -- she campaigned for reconciliation with the military.

Pinera, 56, of the National Renewal party, is the biggest shareholder in Chile's LAN airline and also runs several other companies. He led an aggressive campaign on a socially moderate but fiscally conservative platform.
Lagos's successor will take office on March 11.

If elected, Bachelet, 54, of the Democratic Agreement coalition, would be Chile's first female president.

AFP 01 12 06

Copyright © 2006 AFP. All rights reserved


 

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