Oil
hits fresh highs as Humberto lashes US
AFP/DDP/Martin
Oeser

A stock trader watches screens at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange in
August 2007.
Europe's main stock markets slid after the euro struck
a record dollar high and oil
prices surged above 80 dollars a barrel
in New York, threatening company profits.
By
Michael Adler
AFP
NEW
YORK
Petroleumworld.com
09 13 07
Crude oil futures touched fresh highs in New
York Thursday as a tropical storm rampaged through Texas and Louisiana, posing
threats to key US oil-producing areas at a time of heightened supply fears.
New York's main futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in October,
gained 18 cents to a record close at 80.09 dollars a barrel after hitting a new
intraday high of 80.20 dollars, two cents higher than Wednesday's record.
In London, the price of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery soared as
high as 77.86 dollars per barrel, before pulling back to settle at 77.40 dollars,
a drop of 28 cents. Brent's record high stands at 78.40 dollars, set in 2006.
Oil prices began their record-breaking surge on Wednesday after news that US
crude reserves dived lower last week, compounding concerns over tight global
energy supplies despite OPEC's move to hike output.
Shortly after US floor trading opened, the price of New York crude touched another
all-time record following the closure of several US refineries in the path of
Hurricane Humberto, traders said.
Humberto was downgraded to a tropical storm, as it pushed into southeastern Texas
and Louisiana.
"Certainly in the very short term we do have some hurricane-related volatility
in market," said Citigroup analyst Tim Evans.
"There were at least two refineries that lost electrical power and shut
down as a result of the storm. That has pushed gasoline prices in particular
to the upside today and we did get a new all-time high for (New York) crude along
with that."
The closures jangled supply fears in what is already viewed as a very tight market.
The US Department of Energy revealed Wednesday that US crude inventories fell
by a sharper-than-expected 7.1 million barrels in the week to Friday, 7 September.
The drop was almost three times heavier than analysts' consensus forecasts.
A decision on Tuesday by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
to pump an extra 500,000 barrels of oil per day from November would provide little
relief to the tight market, analysts said.
"This move by the (OPEC) producer group has failed to calm markets concerned
about tight crude supplies, with investors still expecting a potential shortfall
in the fourth quarter," said Sucden analyst Michael Davies.
"Many experts are already saying that such an increase in output is unlikely
to reverse oil prices."
OPEC's "basket" price of crude oil, based on production in 12 different
countries, rose to a record 74.21 dollars a barrel on Wednesday, the cartel announced
Thursday.
The record-breaking week for the oil market came despite an announcement by the
International Energy Agency that it was lowering its predictions of global crude
demand for this year and 2008 because of ongoing turbulence across financial
markets.
The IEA, which acts as energy policy adviser to industrialized countries, reduced
its demand forecast to 85.9 million barrels per day in 2007 and 88 million bpd
in 2008, from its prediction last month of 86 and 88.2 million bpd respectively.
Phil Flynn at Alaron Trading said oil traders are betting that the US and global
economies will keep growing despite worries about the US real estate slide. He
said markets expect a Federal Reserve rate cut will help avert a recession.
" Crude is convinced that a Fed rate cut is in store for next week and that
should help keep the demand for oil much stronger than feared," he said.
" The market is also showing that funds are getting an appetite for risk
once again.
Funds that fled from record long positions because they feared
the housing slowdown perhaps are jumping back in. Even those without subprime
exposure
fled from risk. Now they are coming back, a strong sign of confidence in our
economic future."
AFP 13 1937 GMT 09 07
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