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Far-right Brazil candidate Bolsonaro ahead of final debate, big boost on Datafolha poll

Far-right candidate Jair Bolsonaro. Play Video: Latin America's biggest economy votes on Sunday.

- Jair Bolsonaro rises to 35 percent in latest Datafolha survey.

- Leftwinger Fernando Haddad remains steady on 22 percent

By Rachel Gamarski

Petroleumworld 10 05 2018

Brazil's far-right presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro extended his lead over his rivals in the latest opinion poll, though he still looks short of the votes needed to win outright on Sunday.

The former army captain saw his support rise 35 percent in the Datafolha poll published on Thursday evening, up three points on the last poll from Oct. 2. Fernando Haddad, the candidate from the leftwing Workers' Party, has 22 percent of vote intentions. If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, there will be a runoff on Oct. 28.

The poll shows Bolsonaro and Haddad are technically tied in a second round scenario, with 44 percent and 43 percent respectively. The latest numbers come ahead of the candidates' final televised debate later on Thursday, broadcast by TV Globo. Bolsonaro, however, will not participate, following the advice of his doctor. The PSL candidate was stabbed at a campaign rally on Sept. 6 and only left hospital over the weekend. Instead, he will take part in two one-on-one interviews to be broadcast on Facebook and TV Record.

In terms of valid votes, Bolsonaro now has 39 percent, compared with 25 percent for Haddad. The Datafolha poll -- BR-2581/2018 -- also showed Bolsonaro still has the highest rejection rating of any candidate, at 44 percent, but Haddad is not far behind with 40 percent.

Datafolha interviewed 10,178 people in 389 municipalities on Oct. 3-4 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Datafolha does not run polls for politicians or political parties, according to its website.


Story by Rachel Gamarski from Bloomberg News. 10 04 2018


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